ingeniousowl

[ingeniousowl]

ISRAEL GAZA STRATEGY

It’s becoming difficult to predict the ‘end result’ in Gaza amidst Israel’s visible aversion and demotivation to arrive on any ceasefire agreement. Its stated goal is to “destroy Hamas” which is practically not in sight where Gaza’s toll has already crossed 40,000 in which almost half of them were children’s.

Let’s try to deconstruct this briefly, With Hamas’s TERRORIST ATTACK! On Oct. 7 (which killed more than 1000 Israelis, and taken many hostages) shows vulnerability in Israel’s impenetrable security net (incl. its intelligence gathering capability). But on the other side, this attack gave them an unprecedented opportunity I.e. a High moral ground to attack Gaza Strip in the garb of Self-defence and ‘Retribution’ to achieve some goals (because they were the victim this time).

Now what are the goals?

On deliberation, few probable options emerge for this prolonged operation (so called ‘war’) - 

Due to Sunk cost fallacy - Maybe they started Gaza raid with retribution in mind against Hamas but with no end sight amidst huge cost of war, they are not able to find any honourable and justifying withdrawal. 

Buffer space along with Gaza’s periphery - which may ensure their security post war (& now it extended to Lebanon aswell)

Force Migration - By huge no. of citizens toll to create fear among them and eventually pushed them out of the strip (like mass exodus during Gulf War!)

An exclusive land for Jews - It may be a long-sought dream of the past but any successful step in this direction works well for the personal gain of Netanyahu. 

Personal gain of Netanyahu - He started this to take retribution against Hamas but with prolonged war, unsuccessful attempts in releasing hostages and thousands of civilian’s deaths, he may be charged with various war crimes globally and wide condemnation domestically if the war wouldn’t end with a favourable outcome for the Israelis. (As END JUSTIFY THE MEANS). So, this war is now more personal for him than anything else. 

Purely Consequential reason – i.e. to prolong this war to get as much benefit as you can! before sitting on a negotiation table for Post war solution (like 2state solution) after the ceasefire. (because after that they may not get any opportunity to get these)

But this is not just about Israel, Gaza and Netanyahu, because of the ripple effect of this war, situation in West Asian theatre has already become tense which has affected the global Trade and food price as it is one of the major passage (accounted to almost 15% of sea borne trade) which resulted into high price of necessities (like food, clothes, medicine) especially for developing world (Global south) who are already facing the brunt of climate change. 

Other than this, with surging multi directional confrontation with Iran, Lebanon(Hezbollah), Yemen(Houthi’s) & Hamas (AXIS OF RESISTANCE), there is a possibility of wider escalation which will not limit to just West Asia and could push whole world into the time of chaos.

As our PM Modi stated, “this is not the era of war”, and hence this conflict should be end here and now, which is only possible with wide global interference and consensus, Stationing UN SECURITY FORCES could be the initial step to ease Israel’s security dilemma as well as ensuring peace and timely support for Gazans and stability for rest of the region.

[ingeniousowl]

India that is Bharat!

Let me tell you first what these words actually means, Are they really just synonyms in different language or they have any other significance?

'India' is more of a 'geographical Connotation ', specifically "Land beyond Indus" . we can find its earliest examples in Herodotus work as well as in Megasthenes 'Indica'.

Whereas, 'Bharat' represents more of a 'Culture' which is linked to Vedic period, named after Samraat Bharata of Chandravamsha daynsty.

Now the name has always been a contested topic, and debate over it emerges from time and again. So let's try to understand why this time?..... Could it be a result of rising Hindu Nationalism? or an another effort to revive our cultural symbols (which got diminished or subverted under the reigns of foreign invasions)? or may be just a political move for their domestic gain?

Well it is difficult to say, as the timings are too coincidental - # As few weeks back major opposition parties of the country came into a grand coalition named I.N.D.I.A and not to miss the leading grand old party, Indian national congress (major challenger in the upcoming election). # Bhartiya janta party has always been an ardent promoter of cultural nationalism. And name BHARAT consequentially is in coherence with their ideology.

Now the question is whether it was already in their bucket list or a retaliation against the INC's move because however you may see it, you will find consequentially more weight in the BJP's basket due to the rising consciousness of Cultural Nationalism.

Anyways if we just talk about names, it would not be wrong to say that Indeed 'India' has been used by foreigners first and not indigenous which was later become the prominent mode of reference of this land after MUGHALS. And on the other hand culture gives a sense of belongingness, it's an emotion and if not get perversed will give a sense of unity and thus help in nation building. However, exploiting it only for the political gain will not do it any good and might create political awkwardness internationally and divide internally which is neither desirable nor acceptable.

Hence, even if we talk about BHARAT before INDIA today, it should be bolstered up by a greater discourse which cut across all political line and petty gains because it is the name of our motherland whom we all so much proud of.