#swing states

[rejectingrepublicans]

“Data that makes no statistical sense. A clean sweep in all seven swing states.

The fall of the Blue Wall. Eighty-eight counties flipped red—not one flipped blue.

Every victory landed just under the threshold that would trigger an automatic recount. Donald Trump outperformed expectations in down-ballot races with margins never before seen—while Kamala Harris simultaneously underperformed in those exact same areas.

If one were to accept these results at face value—Donald Trump, a 34-count convicted felon, supposedly outperformed Ronald Reagan. According to the co-founder of the Election Truth Alliance:

“These anomalies didn’t happen nationwide. They didn’t even happen across all voting methods—this just doesn’t reflect human voting behavior.”

They were concentrated.

Targeted.

Specific to swing states and Texas—and specific to Election Day voting.

And the supposed explanation? “Her policies were unpopular.”

Let’s think this through logically. We’re supposed to believe that in all the battleground states, Democratic voters were so disillusioned by Vice President Harris’s platform that they voted blue down ballot—but flipped to Trump at the top of the ticket?

Not in early voting.

Not by mail.

With exception to Nevada, only on Election Day.

And only after a certain threshold of ballots had been cast—where VP Harris’s numbers begin to diverge from her own party, and Trump’s suddenly begin to surge. As President Biden would say, “C’mon, man.”

In the world of election data analysis, there’s a term for that: vote-flipping algorithm.”

*If you recall ES&S voting machines gave Mitch McConnell and Lindsey Graham. All the swing states and Texas appear to have had their vote tallies tampered with.

[sunbeamedskies]

The left SUCKS at recruiting people. And so many of you are part of the problem.

The talk about centrists and moderates being the literal devil I see constantly in online leftist spaces is one great example of the left's failure. Yes, it sucks when the people don't see how horrible the right is. But centrists are some of the most open people to discussion- and some already lean left!!

You can't demonize moderates to such an extent that you close yourself off to them and then wonder why you're losing swing states.

Centrists aren't even always people with all the privileges- you will find plenty of people who are part of marginalized groups who are concerned about politicians on all sides.

You can be a smol radical leftist bean all you want who only talks to other smol socialist and communist beans, but you're never going to make the difference you want to in the world that way. It's the cold, hard truth. It doesn't mean you have to engage in discourse with everyone- some people have no real hope of changing and are emotionally draining- just more than your bubble.

I am tired of the left eating itself alive and deranged people like Trump winning.

[liberalsarecool]

My guilty pleasure.

Who would vote for Trump and then vote for Democrats in House/Senate? Or maybe they just didn't vote? If so, compare that trend of only voting for President and leaving the ballot blank to previous elections. Give context.

Also, if tabulation machines were hacked, a simple hand count of the ballots could help solve the mystery. Humor me and prove this wrong.

Interesting how quiet things are when all this could be investigated very easily.

👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀

[iwriteaboutfeminism]

This is clearly NOT an issue of people voting third party.

This clearly IS an issue of people voting Republican.

Let's focus our time and energy where it is warranted by the facts.

[fuck-u-maga]

[pawfulofwaffles]

To any blue voters in a red state/swing state afraid that their vote won't matter:

Back in summer, I spent a week at my grandpa's house, and he always has Fox News on. Every day, I had to listen to bigoted babies complain their asses off over every little thing they don't like and then call anyone that doesn't agree with them sensitive. They insisted that Trump was going to win, and made fun of Kamala any chance they could get. And honestly, I was starting to lose hope.

But once I got home it was like a breath of fresh air. Every other news channel agreed that Trump was crazy and needed to be kept out of office. The thing I've come to realize is, the Trump supporters in these red/swing states are going to suffocate you with the idea that Trump will win.

But in reality? This is no longer just "democrat vs republican", this is a case of good vs. evil. Trump is fucking insane, and luckily, a lot of republicans and past supporters are coming to realize what's actually at stake. I'm willing to bet you have more allies in your state than you feel.

You don't know yet how much of a difference your vote will make. This is one of the most important elections in history, and every vote matters, because any of them could end up tipping the scale in favor of blue.

[reasonsforhope]

"A record number of early votes have been cast in Georgia on Tuesday [October 15, 2024] as residents headed to the polls in a critical battleground state that is grappling with the fallout from Hurricane Helene and controversial election administration changes that have spurred a flurry of lawsuits.

More than 328,000 ballots were cast Tuesday [October 15, 2024], Gabe Sterling of the Georgia secretary of state’s office said on X. “So with the record breaking 1st day of early voting and accepted absentees we have had over 328,000 total votes cast so far,” he said.

The previous first day record was 136,000 in 2020, Sterling said.

The swing state is one of the most closely watched this election, with former President Donald Trump trying to reclaim it after losing there to President Joe Biden by a small margin four years ago, leading Trump and his allies to unsuccessfully push to overturn his defeat.

Those efforts have loomed large this year as new changes to how the state conducts elections have been approved by Republican members of the State Election Board, leading Democrats and others to mount legal challenges, many of which have yet to be resolved even as Election Day nears.

Despite the massive turnout on Tuesday, the process appeared to go smoother this year for some Atlanta-area voters who spoke with CNN.

“Last time I voted, I voted in the city and the lines were out the door. They only had like, maybe like three people working,” said Corine Canada. “So people honestly just started leaving because it was like that. Yeah, like, ‘This is too long. I can’t sit here (and) wait, I have to go back to work.’ But here, no, it was easy.”

-via CNN, October 15, 2024

[tomorrowusa]

Psychologist Mary Trump knows Uncle Donald better than most of us.

It would take just four GOP US House members and four US senators to halt the destruction of America.

If you're a registered voter living in a swing House district or state then you have more power than most Americans. Visit the local office of your US rep or senator to register your disgust at what is going on.

Sorry, but phone calls and emails to people who represent you are next to worthless; the only way for your rep or senator to know that you are 100% real is to personally visit their offices and talk to their staff. Make a copy of your voter registration card to leave with them as a reminder that you are an engaged voter.

The era of slacktivism is over. Interacting with neighbors and lawmakers in person is the only way forward. Low energy digital twiddling will get us nowhere.

Republicans on Capitol Hill have to be made more fearful of the 2026 election than they are of Trump and Musk.

It may be unfair that you have to do more just because you live in a swing district or state, but then your share of success is also greater.

[kweenluxa]

red mirage and blue shift

a lot of people are stressed seeing trump leading in the polls right now and in critical swing states

I would like to remind y'all about the red mirage and blue shift

the red mirage is when the polls lean heavily republican at the start of the night, this occurs because rural counties with less votes to count are able to finalize their ballots earlier than larger blue counties

this causes many states to appear right leaning at the start of the night until larger blue counties can finalize their results

the blue shift occurs when these larger urban areas finish counting their ballots, for example in 2020, trump was leading Georgia until the larger blue counties sent in their numbers and Biden ended up winning the state

once urban areas are accounted for, these states shift to blue

[literal-fiction]

If you live in Pennsylvania, Michigan or Wisconsin it is of the utmost importance you go vote blue.

PA has the most electoral votes of all the swing states and historically speaking has a good chance of turning blue.

MI and WI also usually go blue in presidential elections and based on what I've seen of current electoral college map predictions, the three of them combined could likely win Harris the election regardless of whether or not she wins the other swing states.

The other swing states are still very important, but those three are some of our best shots at beating Trump.

[democracyunderground]

Riden With Kamala

"Holy cow! This is the Harris-Walz rally in swing-state Arizona right now. 20,000 seats, and NOT AN EMPTY SEAT IN THE HOUSE. Donald, we hope you're enjoying Mar-A-Lago, because you're NOT going back to the White House!"

[lifeland]

TLDR: Possibility that election day bomb threats were for eventually discrediting alterations to tabulation databases

Soooo, someone named Stephen Spoonamore is posting on spoutable that it's possible the 32 bomb threats were to break chain of custody, and cover up a hack to the tabulation systems in those counties. The link to this can be found here.

I have no clue how credible this guy is, nor am I any expert on the claims he's making. Therefore, I'm just sharing this and make no comment agreeing or disagreeing with these claims. While I haven't yet found the tv show he mentions being in, he's mentioned on the wikipedia article on Premier Election Solutions (Edit history indicates his name was in the article since at least 2011)

edit: clarified tldr

edit 2: the first entry in the thread is marked with an accuracy alert; however the author of that alert appears to have conflated Spoonamore's statements with something else.

edit 3: turns out that the number 32 was actually just one county. We are f*cked if we don't do anything.

[relaxedstyles]

[strideofpride]

Iowa turning itself into a swing state like

[thashining]

Always Russia

"he said "that's why we also voted.." !?

"Kremlin agent well now that makes sense and if you stop thinking about anything else you’re going down the wrong sink path because this is what Trump is all about he is a Russian asset always has been"

"The Loudest Secret"

@rosierose061