#machine models
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river-taxbird · 10 months ago
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AI hasn't improved in 18 months. It's likely that this is it. There is currently no evidence the capabilities of ChatGPT will ever improve. It's time for AI companies to put up or shut up.
I'm just re-iterating this excellent post from Ed Zitron, but it's not left my head since I read it and I want to share it. I'm also taking some talking points from Ed's other posts. So basically:
We keep hearing AI is going to get better and better, but these promises seem to be coming from a mix of companies engaging in wild speculation and lying.
Chatgpt, the industry leading large language model, has not materially improved in 18 months. For something that claims to be getting exponentially better, it sure is the same shit.
Hallucinations appear to be an inherent aspect of the technology. Since it's based on statistics and ai doesn't know anything, it can never know what is true. How could I possibly trust it to get any real work done if I can't rely on it's output? If I have to fact check everything it says I might as well do the work myself.
For "real" ai that does know what is true to exist, it would require us to discover new concepts in psychology, math, and computing, which open ai is not working on, and seemingly no other ai companies are either.
Open ai has already seemingly slurped up all the data from the open web already. Chatgpt 5 would take 5x more training data than chatgpt 4 to train. Where is this data coming from, exactly?
Since improvement appears to have ground to a halt, what if this is it? What if Chatgpt 4 is as good as LLMs can ever be? What use is it?
As Jim Covello, a leading semiconductor analyst at Goldman Sachs said (on page 10, and that's big finance so you know they only care about money): if tech companies are spending a trillion dollars to build up the infrastructure to support ai, what trillion dollar problem is it meant to solve? AI companies have a unique talent for burning venture capital and it's unclear if Open AI will be able to survive more than a few years unless everyone suddenly adopts it all at once. (Hey, didn't crypto and the metaverse also require spontaneous mass adoption to make sense?)
There is no problem that current ai is a solution to. Consumer tech is basically solved, normal people don't need more tech than a laptop and a smartphone. Big tech have run out of innovations, and they are desperately looking for the next thing to sell. It happened with the metaverse and it's happening again.
In summary:
Ai hasn't materially improved since the launch of Chatgpt4, which wasn't that big of an upgrade to 3.
There is currently no technological roadmap for ai to become better than it is. (As Jim Covello said on the Goldman Sachs report, the evolution of smartphones was openly planned years ahead of time.) The current problems are inherent to the current technology and nobody has indicated there is any way to solve them in the pipeline. We have likely reached the limits of what LLMs can do, and they still can't do much.
Don't believe AI companies when they say things are going to improve from where they are now before they provide evidence. It's time for the AI shills to put up, or shut up.
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worse-artist · 6 months ago
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fuck everything because i made another one
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uglytheater · 1 year ago
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Sage of TV Dinners (You will become dinner for the TV)
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fatedroses · 8 months ago
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zenos, but he's getting spammed by his weirdly tech savvy great-grandfather.
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rivusapoems · 1 year ago
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anonomi · 7 months ago
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some of the car stuff I forgot to post
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masterisabelle · 8 months ago
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Does anyone ever just lose it and make a self indulgent au where axis was entrusted with Chujin’s legacy instead of ceroba and goes batshit insane
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Thinking of throwing kanako into the mix
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jakeperalta · 12 days ago
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1. "the bomb" by florence + the machine // 2-4. "this song" - conan gray // 5. "gps" - shauna barbosa // 6. морской пейзаж 2 (seascape 2) - evgenii luniov / "don't take the money" - bleachers // 7-8. atonement dir. joe wright // 9. "tomatoes" - joy sullivan // 10. atonement dir. joe wright // 11. "old recliners" - role model // 12. everything i never told you - celeste ng // 13. call me by your name dir. luca guadagnino // 14. "love poem beginning with a yellow cab" - josé olivarez // 15. "august" - taylor swift // 16. red, white & royal blue dir. matthew lopez // 17. "one more afternoon" - maggie rogers
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illustrationismyhaven · 24 days ago
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Every day I miss him..........
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modormouth · 8 months ago
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and for her neutral special homura wields  ✨g u n ✨
also free homura meme image for you to use
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alex-wf · 16 days ago
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HE IS RISEN!!!! WELCOME BACK TINCAN WIFE 💕💕💕
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divinemachina · 11 months ago
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lethe back at it again. vampire v-model
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melleonis · 3 months ago
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you don't want "found family" you want to be secure in your relationships - which is the thing the institution of family promises and fails to provide. stop trying to recreate it.
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robo-dino-puppy · 5 months ago
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horizon zero dawn (remastered) | erend 9/?
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masterisabelle · 8 months ago
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More of him, I called the evil axis au “Legacy of the machine”
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dyinggirldied · 1 year ago
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Mortician Danny is fine and all but imagine Danny making caskets or funeral wreath. They are very beautiful, very appropriate until the funeral proceed begins. Because unfortunately he is still a Febton and you recall the accident with the food, you will know what happens next.
Doubling on that bad luck, he now finds himself under the attention of the superhero community.
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