#me overanalyzing things?

[lunarriviera]

do you ever think about how there’s absolutely no narrative reason for Chen Fei to be there during the NPC confrontation scene? like he serves zero functional plot-related purpose, other than to be astonished by Lin Qiushi’s accusation, and then even more floored when Ruan Nanzhu unhesitatingly agrees—so why is he there?

honestly? I think it is entirely because if there weren��t someone there, they’d have their tongues down each other’s throats, right about the point where Nanzhu turns around with tears standing in his eyes and makes his wrenching little speech ending in how he has no future without Qiushi and he now knows what love means. it’s Sedgwick’s homosocial triangle, except in this case Nanzhu’s old friend-with-benefits* is the conduit/mediator. very smart, writers. someone has to cockblock these two so it doesn't turn into a torrid love confession.

*(yes that’s just my headcanon but I believe it with my whole heart)

[ihopeicanchangethislater05]

welcome to another ep of overanalysing house md where your host, iea will be showing another thing i found out ,

okay season 2 ep 16,

wilson is living with house after his marriage with julie fell through.

now house has told wilson that when there is a stethoscope on the door handle, that he has a hooker over and is having sex

so wilson being wilson (like a polite cat), he waits outside for hours doing nothing (sleeping and dancing or whatever that was)

now lets focus on the door to house's home

closed

closed

and OPEN?????

tell me house did NOT open that door and stick his damm head out to see what wilson was doing, laugh to himself and go back to reading that month's journal of cardiology to find out what was wrong with his patient

then he finally comes out to pick up his man after sunset.

house is not fr, i love his pranks so much.

[goryhorroor]

[lavellaned]

When I say I dislike the solavellan ending I don’t mean how they end up, I mean how they got there. Them ascending past the dinan’shiral together? The slight ambiguity of it all so anything could be canon? Them both surviving?!?!! Literally the best fucking ending that I wasn’t confident we would ever get. Just how we got there was kinda. You know.

I’m personally not the biggest fan of how Lavellan is in da4 (which I wasn't too surprised about since inky isn't pc), especially when it comes to Solas. The interactions rook can have with both of them about the other feel uneven, for lack of a better word. I can’t really believe Solas would ever talk about someone so precious to him to someone like rook, regardless of their relationship to him. I would’ve preferred it to be told environmentally, through found notes, journals, murals and have him not say a word about her. That feels more authentic to me. Because otherwise what we got was Lavellan waxing poetic about Solas and just casually dropping the fact that they were together and that they’re special to each other while all Solas says is that she’s a good woman that he cherishes.

And then I can’t help but compare it to trespasser. The ending to that dlc ruined me. To this day I still can’t listen to Lost Elf lmao. He kneels down to her, gently runs his fingers through her hair, holds her hand, and kisses her while saving her life from the anchor. The heart-wrenching, “My love.” His last words to her (and the last ones we hear for the next 8 years) are, “I will never forget you.” Are you kidding rn???? I’m demolished. I have never recovered. I get fucking shaky to this day thinking about it. Veilguard just didn’t match that for me.

The thing I do love about it though is the moment he first hears her voice. Nearly breaks his damn neck to look for her. And the way that just looking at her makes him so breathless we get the most tortured “vhenan” I’ve ever heard from him. The way his eyes get so soft. If they had kept that energy for the entire time they interacted in the end I would be one happy camper. But they just kinda didn’t.

I think my main issue comes from the lack of agency Solas has the entire time, even when Mythal lets him go. Maybe I’m just too sensitive to this and am seeing things that aren’t really there, but it has the feeling that things with Lavellan are just happening to him, and he doesn’t really get a say. Solas had no agency pretty much the entire game, and the game is pretty much about how his entire life has been like that. Don’t get me wrong, I absolutely believe he wants her with him, but you couldn’t have held her hand at least and walked into the rift together? You just kinda walked away and if she goes, she goes? Idk man, could just be a me thing, but I do wish there was a slight tone difference, in that Solas is actually making a choice he wants for himself for once.

[dreamlightgallery]

Been meaning to make this post for a while now, but the fact that Prune Juice seems to be sensitive to loud sounds lives rent-free in my head.

The Cookie body can only take so many soundwaves. The situation becomes harder and harder to bear, and Prune Juice Cookie feels his will to fight waning...

Plus the bad end text:

Within seconds, Prune Juice Cookie was surrounded by an electrifying cacophony of guitar riffs. In the end... he too succumbed to the spirit of rock...

...Ah, but no, it's not just this entire scene from Grand Cookie Games.

So first, recall for a moment how (in the Triple Cone Cup story) he trips in front of the Candy Golem and is called out to in concern by Kouign-Amann. In English, he just says there's nothing to worry about, but in Korean...

별 것 아니니까 소리치지 마세요! ���냥 넘어진 것뿐....

In the bold text he specifically says not to shout (the full sentence is "It's nothing, so don't shout!"). That doesn't say much on its own, however...

Here we are, bearing witness to the might of the Spice Overlord (in YouTube video quality)...

(Let me remind you for no reason in particular, Capsaicin is an "Overlord" in the Disgaea sense; a demon lord.)

What does Prune Juice say to this in English? He asks if the shouting is necessary, yes? And why does he ask this? Well, I'm glad you asked!

아이고 귀청이야!!

He is in pain.

This exclamation is essentially "ARGH MY EARDRUMS ARE RINGING!" or "IT'S DEAFENING!" or what-have-you.

In conclusion: I think he needs noise-cancelling headphones.

[dead-minecraft-fandoms]

"my helpfulness is killing, so if you want me to kill them, then i can kill them."

THAT'S IT THAT'S HIM. THAT'S THE WHOLE OF UU!WEMMBU. THERE IT IS. im going to be sick

[turtleblogatlast]

Something I love to think about is every iteration of Leo’s relationship with Splinter and how Splinter’s interests always define how a Leo presents himself.

I used to abide by the idea that a Leo will simply emulate his Splinter directly, and to an extent I still believe that to be the case, but moreso I think Leos have a tendency to mold themselves into what they believe is their Splinter’s ideal son - someone who embodies all the traits Splinter has explicitly shown to admire or value in a person.

Most of the time, they try to be a dutiful and honorable boy abiding by the full extent of ninjitsu teachings. Then you have Rise Splinter, who very much still has undeniable prowess in the art of fighting and being a ninja, but when it comes to how he shows his interests to his boys…one thing reigns supreme.

Acting. Shows. One liners. Flamboyance in the name of gaining an audience’s attention.

He showcases Lou Jitsu movies on repeat for the boys, passing down the morals and words from those movies to them with no small amount of pride. All while fully expecting them to respect these teachings.

So, of course, Rise Leo picks up on this. He’s a Leo, after all, as much a daddy’s boy as any other variation of him, only he clocked his father’s interests to be different than most others. He picks up on the art of showmanship, of keeping things to himself so as to be a more exciting twist later, of treating the world as a set to act in.

He’s an actor, not just because Splinter himself was one, but because Splinter likes acting and showed one particular actor (unknowingly to the boys, it was himself) as the pinnacle of all his teachings. As someone to value and admire. And even more than that - Splinter focuses on the character the actor is portraying rather than just the man himself.

And I think this is all even more interesting when taking the turtle tot short into consideration, because very, very briefly, just as with many times else throughout the series, we see how easily Rise Leo aligns with his other selves, seeming to pick up the sword easier than his brothers do their own weapons - after quoting Lou Jitsu of course. After emulating his idol - the person who his father seems to admire so much.

Point being, it’s so interesting to see how Leos tend to mold themselves in one particular way throughout every variation - that being, what their father is shown to value most in people.

[wordpress-blaze-227505286]

AI Playbook: Automating Trade Compliance and Tariff Forecasting

Overview

In an increasingly unpredictable trade landscape, supply chain teams need more than spreadsheets—they need an intelligence engine that can forecast risk, find optimal strategies, and drive smarter decisions. AI has become that engine, blending data, analytics, and automation to transform trade compliance from reactive to proactive. This playbook details how to create an AI-powered framework to automate HS code classification, simulate tariffs, and ensure compliance in a rapidly evolving global market.

Step 1: Automate HS Code Classification

Why it matters: Manual classification is time-consuming and error-prone, leading to fines and shipment delays. AI accelerates classification while improving accuracy.

How to do it:

Leverage AI tools to translate product descriptions into HS codes.

Use customs APIs to retrieve applicable duty rates in different regions.

Integrate this automated workflow into your ERP system.

Prompt example: “Assign an HS code for ‘wireless noise-cancelling headphones’ and show applicable U.S./EU tariffs.”

Step 2: Simulate Tariff Scenarios

Why it matters: Tariff regimes shift fast, and static models can’t keep up.

How to do it:

Collect historic tariff changes and commodity data.

Build ML models (e.g., XGBoost, LightGBM) to predict the probability and size of future tariff changes.

Example scenario: “Estimate Q4 2025 tariff impact on smartwatches from Vietnam.”

Step 3: Build a Compliance Alert Engine

Why it matters: Compliance failures can create huge costs and damage reputation.

How to do it:

Use AI frameworks to create prompts that scan shipments for red flags.

Schedule daily checks via workflow automation tools.

Alerts flag:

Output: Slack or email alerts to the compliance team.

Step 4: Duty Optimization with AI

Why it matters: Companies leave millions on the table by not exploring sourcing alternatives.

How to do it:

Use AI to simulate alternative suppliers or trade routes.

Build cost models that incorporate total landed costs and tariff impacts.

Example prompt: “Suggest suppliers for LED lighting with minimal tariffs given current trade policies.”

Step 5: Create a Trade Digital Twin

Why it matters: Without scenario planning, companies can’t pivot fast enough.

How to do it:

Build a digital twin of your supply chain.

Feed it real-time tariff and customs data.

Model alternative scenarios: e.g., 25% tariff on EU textiles, 10% duty relief in India.

Data Governance and Risk Mitigation

AI is only as good as the data that fuels it:

Validate supplier data, shipment logs, and customs information.

Automate cleansing and standardization to avoid data gaps.

Create governance frameworks to ensure data reliability.

Real-World Examples

Maersk uses AI to spot suspicious deviations in container routes, preventing smuggling.

DHL scans invoices for anomalies, catching suspicious jumps that hint at fraud.

Retailer X rapidly switched 20% of sourcing to Vietnam after a new 25% China tariff—AI made it possible in days, not weeks.

Insights from the Field

A recent report highlighted how trade crime is on the rise as tariffs mount. Smugglers, counterfeiters, and rogue suppliers thrive in uncertainty. AI counteracts this by:

Tracking shifts in supplier volumes: AI can monitor historical and current volumes, highlighting any sudden changes that might signal illegal or suspicious activity.

Identifying fraudulent documentation: Using NLP and ML models, AI can parse shipment documents, customs declarations, and invoices for inconsistencies, missing data, or suspicious modifications.

Flagging suspicious invoice structures: AI can analyze invoice data for patterns that deviate from normal business practices, such as unusually high or low prices, sudden volume spikes, or missing trade identifiers.

Conducting cross-checks: AI can compare data across suppliers and historical shipments, verifying consistency and authenticity.

Prompts to support validation:

“Compare historical shipping volumes for Supplier ABC and flag sudden spikes.”

“Analyze invoice text for missing trade identifiers or discrepancies.”

“Check supplier documentation for authenticity, focusing on new suppliers added in Q2 2025.”

“List trade partners that show abnormal invoice patterns since the latest tariff changes.”

This proactive, data-driven approach minimizes human error and boosts confidence in compliance.

Future Outlook: The Next Wave of AI-Driven Compliance

Predictive Monitoring: AI will scan for subtle patterns that hint at regulatory shifts.

Automated Negotiation: AI agents will suggest optimal contract clauses tied to real-time tariff data.

Dynamic Risk Scoring: AI will create live risk scores for every shipment.

Key Prompts to Start

“Find top 10 suppliers impacted by new EU carbon tariffs.”

“Generate negotiation clauses for volatile commodity pricing.”

“Assess tariff exposure for Q4 across electronics categories.”

Conclusion

AI is no longer a luxury—it’s a necessity for trade compliance and risk management. By automating manual tasks, simulating future scenarios, and spotting hidden risks, AI empowers supply chain teams to transform trade volatility into opportunity.

References

Bloomberg (2025). “Trump’s Global Tariffs Blocked by U.S. Trade Court” – https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-05-28/trump-s-global-tariffs-blocked-by-us-trade-court

World Customs Organization (2025). https://www.wcoomd.org

Harvard Business Review (2024). “What Sets AI-Driven Companies Apart” – https://hbr.org/2024/11/what-sets-ai-driven-companies-apart

Trade Crime Is Soaring, U.S. Firms Say, as Trump’s Tariffs Incentivize Fraud Trump’s Tariffs Drive a Rise in Trade Crime - The New York Times

Source: AI Playbook: Automating Trade Compliance and Tariff Forecasting

[hellamorte]

mamma mia here i go again with another chapter from my leander thesis 🤓 please accept my humble input on mc's curse, the importance of reading between leander's flirting lines and rss's wonderful storytelling details.

ngl when i finally chose not to touch leander's hand first (can you blame me, i'm weak for that man) i was bewildered at how strikingly different the options in this scene play out, and i, strange as it seems, like this one much better.

first of all, it's a parallel (even if it's not intended, the connection is still there) to the opening scene with a deranged traveler: the touch, the sensations, the (foreshadowed) strangling:

leander is definitely affected by the curse — possessed even, i would say, as if he was being told to strangle mc. notice how his actions line up with the traveler's, only in slo-mo, because leander was fighting to take back the control. and when mc calls out for him, he either snaps out of it or gets to the exact point when he takes a hold of the curse. this brings up a question: could mc's curse be sentient? alter the minds, you say? (more under the cut because it got long)

i've seen people speculating that mc's curse might bestow the enlightment but that's not true: mc was told that (and that's why this origin has me by the throat (pun absolutely intended): imagine living with so much guilt, thinking you were doing good, but in fact driving people mad… mmm tasty). it ties perfectly into every origin path where mc was being lied to, deceived and betrayed. however, there's definitely something more to the curse's nature that's yet to be disclosed.

my favourite moment though!! is this nuanced character storytelling!!

the very hand that was inches away from choking mc to death is quickly disguised as caring and soothing. wonder why? to gain mc's trust (non-verbally), to show that leander's in control, he's strong, he's there for mc, he'll take care of them. of course, leander, being a leander, downplays the whole experience of being possessed/affected by the curse, but he's being honest at once. he doesn't lie to mc — and that's also how he's gaining trust, verbally this time.

one more question that begs to be asked: why the hell all of this doesn't happen if mc touches leander first? it seems that the quality of the touch (😭) also plays an important role here:

leander must have felt the power of the curse, but he wasn't possessed by it, he could control it right away — why? because the touch was fleeting? or because it was mc who was touching him, not the other way round?

now hear me out (i might be wrong on this one, because i can't remember any more examples off the top of my head, but i feel like it's definitely a thing. let me know if something comes up!): we should pay closer attention to how leander says the truth (or half-truth), but it could be understood differently at a flirting angle (it's slightly different from this one, where he covers up his misstep). what i think he means here is that he controls the curse, but it sure is a difficult thing to do. "not due to your power" my ass, his need to look strong and heroic and weak at the same time is ridiculous, someone cure this man (ivolunteer.gif)

one more and last thing that's bothering me (it might play into the previous point btw): if you keep touching him, he tells mc that fissures on their hands match his golden pin. why??????? that's such a dumb thing to flirt about, such a weird comparison. what kind of connection is there? it's so out of place, it definitely means something more. leander spill

[lovetommyactually]

thinking about the way tommy said Because, thick with emotions, suppressing a sob, a burden he was carrying, cuz he knew what he was about to do, he knew what he had to do, to break his own heart yeah, but first to break that sunshine of a smile In front of him, he knew he was about to lose the best thing that ever happened to him, and yeah he knew it was coming, just probably didn't expect it this soon

just love and loss, knowing the right thing to do but still feeling the weight of its consequences

[theranilord]

Well, I can honestly say that this journey of overanalyzing The Hobbit has been one of the best experiences of this past year. The continued positive reactions have made this whole thing... so worth it. And so, since tonight (yes, tonight. Aiming for around 7:30) brings the final chapter of The Hobbit the question now is... what next? Should there be a next?

My bestie recommended a poll so I will leave this one up to any who read this...

[ladystoneboobs]

wowzers, the lannister twins are actually so dissimilar with such differing views of the world by showing how they literally see colors differently when meeting qyburn and looking into his eyes. or else this is a hint of the extent of qyburn's unnatural powers, that he can just change the color of his eyes whenever he feels like it. in other words ...

and in this case the wizard was qyburn doing stuff to his own eyes!

[regainingparadise]

Is it even Mandalorian romance if they haven't tried to knife each other at least once?

I've been thinking about the people I ship Din Djarin with, and realized that there's an inverse relationship between how much I ship a given couple, and how chill they are together.

Don't get me wrong, I'll happily ship Din with almost everyone, but the ones I get super into? Gimme some good angry fights.

(this says more about me than it does about any of these ships, and this is also 100% not a knock on any of the ships listed or not listed here. It's just me doing some pointless meta about my own tendencies)

In order:

Paz. I love him. They apparently fight all the goddam time. You cannot tell me there is not history there. It makes the times they're on the same side all the more impactful (and adorably awkward).

(I also ship Paz with Axe for the same reason)

2. Migs Mayfeld. Migs is just such a snarky shit, they have every reason to hate each other (/Migs has every reason to assume Din is gonna kill him). They've got the whole fun double-crossing history, and in many ways they're opposites and foils, but ultimately Migs respects and understands Din, and Mando is willing to trust him

3. Cobb Vanth: I mean, their first real interaction is "take it off or I will," so no surprise here. Vanth is very clearly 110% into Din, and they get over the violence phase of their relationship way faster than Din does with either Paz or Migs.

4. Boba Fett. They don't really have a murder phase of their relationship. We get a li'l tension and then they're besties. I ship it, but I'm not as into the ship, 'cause like, how can I ship Mandalorians if I haven't seen them fight each other?

5. Luke Skywalker. I love this ship because it's just...so logical, what with the coparenting. It's a ship in a slightly different category because it lends itself so much to the domestic/parent narrative. But if I'm reading Din/Luke fics, I like a nice (un)healthy dose of tension and possibly violence while they get to know each other

6. Omera. I love Omera/Din as a "what could have been if his life was very very different" ship--especially given that she apparently has some violence in her past that she's now escaped and found peace from.

[karlachismylife]

K this is pure NSFW thoughts because they just hit me sometimes you know

Listen I'm not the biggest fan of blowjobs even at my horniest times, but I can be in my most sex-averse pit and all it would take to jump outta there is a single thought of sucking on a soft cock for hours, drooling all over it and lapping my own slobber up, gently squishing it and flopping around, letting it rest on my face while I go down for the balls-

Old man Nikolai struggling to get it up? He better not be taking viagra, cuz I need it soft. Nikto or Simon getting in their heads and failing to stay hard? Yeah no Idgaf. Erectile dysfunction is a problem for someone else, for me it's time to play around and love on that prick so much that insecurities don't even get a chance to spawn.

[secretly-a-catamount]

Malcolm idealizing Annabel as a concept instead of a person so heavily after her death because while she was alive she was the only one who saw him as a person instead of a thing?

[wackywatchdotcom]

hm..... pomni taking peoples hand as a repeating image in the show..... happens in ep 1, with ragatha, its kinda evoked with her reaching for the final exit door, ep 2 is pretty blatant with it i dont need to say anything else on that, and in episode 3 the scene with kinger..... episode 4 doesnt have anything with this i dont think (i COULD technically say her raising her hand at the beginning of the ep but that is a MASSIVE stretch and doesnt fit with what the other instances seem to be representing. her waving at gummigoo MAYBE but the image just really isnt present in the episode, looking at it realistically) but im thinking about this...... cus i feel like its probably notable in the dream sequence in ep 2 that its her arm that gets all fucked up

[wanderer-clarisse]

"Mano po."

Pagmamano (Tagalog) - "honouring-gesture;" a sign of respect towards elders

A continuation of sorts, of this other drawing I made of the Feänorians, which was roughly inspired by Filipino culture. I originally planned on completing this for @nolofinweanweek, specifically the first prompt about how Fingolfin and Feänor's families got along, but life got in the way and I didn't finish it in time. More background/my long rambles under the cut:

Pagmamano - touching the back of an elder's hand on one's forehead - is not restricted to family, but it's usually done in the context of elder family members. I have many memories of attending family reunions and being told to follow the other kids to "mano po" a grandfather, aunt, or uncle. While Elves don't have elderly relatives, per se, I thought this image was too fun not to draw. Also, I love envisioning Feänor as that cool uncle who gives the most amazing gifts but like, the kids are intimidated by him, so they have to be told (and supervised) by their parents to line up and greet him properly. Fingolfin's just standing there making sure his kids all greet their uncle. (Maedhros, presumably having already finished his greetings, is sidetracking Fingon.)

All this to say, I think that these guys didn't have the perfect relationship. But. You can't convince me Finwë didn't get the whole family together from time to time on some sort of family reunion camping trip. And Feänor just has to begrudgingly tolerate it because he can't say no to his dad. While the kids, obviously, have a great time.