#probit

[solorally]

Presentados los calendarios de Bélgica y Gran Bretaña de rallyes 2024.

Con escasas horas de diferencia se han presentado en el día de hoy el British Rally Championship y el Belgian Rally Championship. Con una previsión de más de 160 días en el caso del campeonato británico, y con el campeonato 2023 todavía sin concluir en el caso de Bélgica. Click para ampliar El primero, organizado por Motorsport UK han presentado como patrocinador principal del campeonato a…

[puffdenlilledragen]

non-smoking laws work btw. smoking indoors in public spaces was probited in 1988 in norway, and in the early 2000s businesses were prohibited from from allowing smoking inside. restaurant & nightlife businesses mounted MASSIVE pushback, but the law still passed and they were clutching their pearls waiting for their demise. it never came. smoking numbers have gone down massively since 1988 and even more since 2004, and public awareness of passive smoking is very high. the laws are made so that vaping is prohibited the same places smoking tobacco is

[collapsedsquid]

Based on data from the Chinese General Social Survey, the fertility intentions of 7,518 respondents aged 18–60 years were analyzed and broken down by sex, region, and age. The marginal effects and mechanisms of offline and online capital on fertility intentions were explored using an ordered probit (oprobit) model, which revealed that individuals’ fertility intentions are positively influenced by offline social capital but negatively influenced by online social capital.

Alright we can raise America's fertility but it means you can't Post anymore.

[helluvaslut]

What are no-no’s on the island?

"Do keep in mind that while both private and public sex is allowed. The girls do have their limits, and need to rest up. As well as drugs being probited on the island. Everything has to be consented. Long as you respect their limits and let them rest up. You should be, if not I'll be forced to intervene and you will be sent on the plane and banned from the island."

[sexintheraine]

October 17th.

The last day of my shackles. The last day he was here.

My last relationship was with a drunk. I have slowly grown to hate that word. I myself have only felt those effects 3 times in my life. And every single time, I’ve had the time of my life… but I’ve also made the choices that have had significant effects on my life too.

The first time. Summer of 2018. I drank alcohol before that moment - but never to the point of excess.

The summer of 2018. I had just gotten out of a 3 yr relationship with my best friend and he broke up with me because he felt we were “too different” and wanted “different things out of life”. I didn’t agree but I couldn’t change his mind. Nor did I want to after being let down by his own undoing. I called my ex from before him. (My toxic ex that somehow always was there for me when shit hit the fan.) we met at Total Wine and I bought a six pack of angry orchard. We drove to his townhome neighborhood and twisted open bottle after bottle. I drank four while I didn’t know where to put my hands and we talked about our lives without each other. He told me all about his recent break up and I drank every word with the liquid I was swallowing. I went to stand to leave and the effects hit. He caught me before my face hit the ground and it was the first time we actually touched the entire night. I was melting all over again. He sat me back on the curb and grabbed a bottle of water out of his car. The gesture caught my heart in my throat and I leaned my head on his shoulder while I sipped.

“Want to come over?” I finally said.

“Your family would not want to see me.” He objected. I was still living with my parents.

“My family is out of town. I could sneak you in.” My words were slurry and serious as I attempted to search his eyes. He still objected. “You could fuck me.” I stated finally - the words were serious, but playful. His expression hardened for a moment before he softened them and then laughed.

“They’re really not home?” He confirmed. I nodded enthusiastically and smiled - which turned into an intoxicated giggle.

“Come on” I tried to stand to get to my drivers side door and he stood and caught me as I fell towards my car. Facing him I wrapped my arms over his shoulders. “You always know how to make me feel better.” My words were a slurred whisper. His hard features broke into a small smile. “I just want your body on mine.” I was really milking it now.

“Where are your keys?” I searched my pockets. Giggled with glee when I found them. “I’ll drive” he stated - taking them from me and guiding me to the passengers side door.

I don’t remember the drive much - other than my excitement building and the peaks I kept taking at him as he drove my car. I remember pulling up to my parents house and a friend of my brothers being at the house. He looked to me for what to do. I told him to go in through the back while I went through the front door. He waited for me to go in first so I could distract my brothers friend who was playing guitar in the living room. I told him immediately that I was sneaking someone in and not to look behind him while I watched the movement of my lover go up the stairs and he laughed at me asking if I were drunk. I said yes and he laughed and said “right on, dude”. I made my way upstairs. He turned around at the sight of me. I through my clothes off faster than I ever have (even to this date) and pulled his lips to mine. He fucked me hard and fast. We couldn’t get enough. I begged him to stay. He said he’d be back in the morning with my car and left.

The second time was late 2018. October, probably. I was in Charleston with my brothers - performing with our band at the Music Farm the next evening. I had one too many cocktails at this fancy bar we popped into called Probition. The drink tasted like a naked juice and I was obsessed with it. I had three. Then promptly got the courage to tell my oldest brother that I had a crush on his best friend. (The one who is now a person I never want to lay eyes on ever again. The one who made home life pretty miserable for the last two years of our four year relationship… the same one I gave everything to and got nothing in return. The same one who is currently suing me for money from my house just because he signed the piece of paper when I was first purchasing it. He has legal rights to it because of a signature and no contribution. The same “best friend” who said awful things and tore everyone down with narcissistic tendencies I had to listen to, in his drunken rage. Never taking the blame… yes… that best friend… the one who finally moved out on October 17th, 2023)

I wish I had known what I know now. I wish I hadn’t put him on a pedestal. I wish I hadn’t trusted him to do the right thing and instead, protected myself. I wish I had given my love to someone else. For the first time in my life… I regret someone. I regret the choice I made to trust him. I regret the choice I made to stay for so long in the toxicity of hoping he would get better. I regret imagining a life with someone who was never going to give me the world and the peace I needed.

I now crave the love. I crave adoration (from me to them and them to me.) I want someone who will hold me in the middle of the day and brush the strand of hair out of my face while they tell me I’m pretty. I want someone who craves adventure and is playfully sexy. I want someone who can’t keep their hands off me. But also wants to make dinner and who will melt against me while I wrap my arms around them as they are doing the dishes. I want to wake up next to someone who says goodmorning in an adorable wonder of how lucky is he that I am there. And how lucky am I that he is here. I want the give and take and take and give. I want the trust to be trusted and the depth to be unlocked. We became surface and then we became argumentative. We became nothing quickly after. If I knew what I know now…. I wouldn’t have had that last drink in Charleston. I would have never told my brother how I felt. I would have found someone else to love. I would probably be married with a baby.… I would probably still be sad about something. But at least I wouldn’t be scared of erratic behavior and Tito’s bottles.

The third time I got drunk, was at my best friends wedding. I got home after. Got naked and stripped of my dress and fell asleep on the couch… wine drunk.

Two years ago… October 2022. I wonder where I’ll be this October….

[thevictorknowsnoends]

Do you guys ever imagine how Marauders/HP characters would react to your everyday life to make it less boring?

Maybe it's just the mental illness or Marauders brainrot but when I'm stuck in some long meeting or class and am bored out of my mind I just... imagine what some of the characters would say if they were there.

Me, sitting in Econometrics class learning about logit and probit: This really doesn't make any sense. I bet Regulus would get just as annoyed about it as I am and complain about how silly the Muggle economy is while Sirius would just laugh about the fact that this function's name is probit and Remus would actually be paying attention and be better than me at this shit.

I need to touch grass. And also learn what the fuck a probit is.

[huijsen]

Stonedias clears let’s be real. Too bad they are hot headed and haven’t been seen interacting.

i like stonesford as a concept cuz i love jordan’s whole attitude and his angry vibe was what got me into stonesford right cuz i love grumpy x sunshine and i thought rúben was too soft and sweet in the beginning. but then the more i looked into his aesthetic the more i see mysterious brooding guy so i ran w it lol

but like if stonesdias are deprived then stonesford are even more deprived cuz there’s literally no source material? 😭 stonesdias got plenty weird shit like the podcast the car pic the goal interview their first interview rúben acting cray cray every time john gets injured the parade rúben carrying john etc etc but for stonesford i can only think of the england interview where they were giggling them arriving to training in the same car the probites interview and the one where jordan was sort of on top of john

and also the last time stonesdias interacted was the madrid game when rúben was there when john got injured talking to him. gonna sound schizophrenic but gvardiol went to john and when rúben saw this he double backed and pushed him away (making up my own narrative). after this we’ve literally never seen them in the same room again

[tsmom1219]

Co-location of carbon capture projects with pollution-intensive manufacturing: Evidence from US zip codes

Fikru, M. G., Shen, T., & Abegaz, M. (2025). Co-location of carbon capture projects with pollution-intensive manufacturing: Evidence from US zip codes. Applied Economics, 1–15. https://doi.org/10.1080/00036846.2025.2490860 Abstract This study examines the co-location of carbon capture projects (CCPs) with pollution-intensive industrial facilities across 26,086 US zip codes, employing Probit…

[olahdatasemarang]

Probit Estimators with Misclassification of the Dependent Variable Use mrprobit With STATA 19

Probit Estimators with Misclassification of the Dependent Variable Use mrprobit With STATA 19 ristek.link/mrprobit

[lurally]

Jürgenson conquers Carlisle Stages Rally

The reigning Junior WRC champion dominates the Kielder Forest and stakes his claim for the 2025 British Rally Championship crown The Probite British Rally Championship 2025 has a new rising star. Romet Jürgenson, the reigning FIA Junior WRC champion, stormed to his maiden overall BRC victory with a commanding performance at the Carlisle Stages Rally, held on Saturday 12 April on the fast,…

[coinworldstoryweb]

Stabull Labs Announces Public Sale of $STABUL Token on ProBit Global Exchange

Próspera ZEDE, Honduras, April 3rd, 2025, Chainwire Public sale of governance token commences April 16, with a listing to follow in May; near-term upgrades include Base chain integration, wallet expansion, and DeFi aggregator support. Stabull Labs LLC, operator of the stablecoin and real-world asset (RWA) decentralised exchange (DEX), Stabull.Finance, has announced the upcoming public sale of…

[demandplanning-forecasting-tech]

Demand Planning - Forecasting Techniques:

The basic ingredient of any demand plan is a statistical forecast. Statistical models and resulting forecasts are the building blocks of the planning process.

Although consensus and collaboration are key ingredients of a successful demand management program, statistical forecasting is the first step to creating the baseline plan. To this end, a good processes and software technologies become important. One of the key things you look for when you prepare a Request for Proposal (RFP) is to ensure that you cover all of the modeling algorithms and techniques which are relevant to your process. This depends on your industry and your specific business model.

Forecasting techniques can be broadly classified as:

Time Series Forecasting models consisting of exponential smoothing, Holt-Winters Multiplicative Smoothing, ARIMA models and Box-Jenkins Models, Logarithmic regression models

Promotional Planning Models that typically use event modeling methodologies and indicator variable models

Causal models that include a variety of Multiple Linear Regression Models and transfer function models

Probabilistic Models that often forecast the probability of a particular event happening in the future and these include Logit, Probit, and Tobit, models

Croston's Models to forecast intermittent demand. Here is a link to a semi-technical explanation of Croston's Method.

To know More, Visit Us:

[bigraagsbigblog]

R - Binary outcomes

3/17/25

Some interesting binary variables i've been thinking about in relation to my life at CWRU.

When seeing someone on the quad passing by in opposite directions, how close are our perceived relationships with each other?

Do I wave at them as we pass by?

Do I shout their name if they're going along a different path?

Do they respond?

Do we have anything in common to actually talk about?

In relation to parties (especially those advertised through stories on instagram, without actual invites)

Does someone regularly use social media?

Has someone seen my post?

Is it worth inviting someone?

Should I reach out again over text / in person?

Confounding variables:

Will they talk about it with their friends?

Do others at the party know them?

Are they the type to come out / have fun if I do convince them to come?

Are they going to require convincing to come?

Will they chip in for food?

Will they eat an normal amount of food?

Do they live nearby?

Are their friends also invited?

Will they ask for plus-ones?

These kinds of variables are all over the place in the world! Trying to make a decision, categorize anything (people especially), trying to plan a future event, etc etc.

If I was to build a model of how likely someone is to come to a party based on these factors - something like how much food they will eat could be modeled as a probit (since it's probably a normal distribution), versus how close they are to the greater community is more likely to be modeled as a logit, because that seems to me closer to a logarithmic distribution of connections in a web of friend groups. It'd be fun to make a model of how likely I am to invite a given person to a party depending on these factors, and by attaching weights to them, being able to rank someone new into the list. You could totally train a neural network on this in order to predict / generate lists of people to invite, and create sort-of tier lists to automatically invite people in order to keep numbers at a party roughly equal no matter what's going on.

[luanvan]

Sự Tham Gia Chương Trình Mục Tiêu Quốc Gia Về Xây Dựng Nông Thôn Mới Của Hộ Gia Đình Ở Quảng Ngạn, Quảng Điền, Thừa Thiên Huế

1/ Thông tin bài báo Tên bài báo: SỰ THAM GIA CHƯƠNG TRÌNH MỤC TIÊU QUỐC GIA VỀ XÂY DỰNG NÔNG THÔN MỚI CỦA HỘ GIA ĐÌNH Ở QUẢNG NGẠN, QUẢNG ĐIỀN, THỪA THIÊN HUẾ Tác giả: Nguyễn Thái Phán, Lê Anh Quý Số trang: 65-78 Năm: 2020 Nơi xuất bản: Tạp chí Khoa học Đại học Huế: Kinh tế và Phát triển Từ khoá: hộ gia đình, mô hình probit, nhân tố, sự tham gia, xây dựng nông thôn mới 2/ Nội dung chính Bài…