#Michael Binder

[dontmeantobepoliticalbut]

Abortion politics is threatening to roil Florida Republicans’ chances in competitive state Legislature races amid widespread voter backlash.

The Florida Supreme Court upheld a 15-week limit on abortion earlier this month, paving the way for a six-week ban passed by the state Legislature last year to soon go into effect.

Now, a handful of vulnerable Republican state lawmakers who supported the six-week restrictions could be imperiled in November as anger over the ban grows.

“Given how unpopular this new policy is and the fact that there’s a constitutional amendment question regarding abortion on the ballot, I do think that there’s some risk for down-ballot Republicans,” former Rep. Carlos Curbelo (R-Fla.) told The Hill.

Florida has become a focal point in the battle over abortion access as a number of states have seen abortion access curtailed following the overturning of Roe v. Wade.

The state Supreme Court ruled earlier this month that the contested 15-week abortion restriction could proceed, arguing that a privacy clause within the state Constitution does not pertain to abortion.

The state Legislature last year passed a six-week limit on the medical procedure, though it was not enforced as the litigation around the 15-week ban wound its way through the courts.

The six-week ban will officially become enacted May 1, rapidly changing the landscape of abortion access in the Sunshine State. At the same time, abortion-rights advocates eked out a win this month when the Florida Supreme Court said a ballot measure seeking to enshrine abortion protections into the state Constitution could go before voters this fall.

Among the members who voted for the six-week ban who live in swing districts are GOP state Reps. Rachel Saunders Plakon in Seminole County; Susan Plasencia, who represents parts of Orange and Seminole counties; David Smith in Seminole County; and Carolina Amesty, who represents portions of Orange and Osceola counties. Not all of them currently have declared Democratic challengers.

Nonetheless, Democrats are confident some of these GOP state legislators will be vulnerable for voting on the six-week ban. If that’s the case, it would show how abortion politics is roiling redder states at a more local level.

“I do think for all these Republicans that voted essentially with [Gov. Ron] DeSantis in an attempt to boost his ambitions for the White House — they haven’t only endangered women and abortion seekers, but they’ve also endangered their political careers, and it will be made very clear on the campaign trail how out of touch they are, even with their own base,” said state Rep. Anna Eskamani (D), who previously worked at Planned Parenthood.

Yet some experts like Michael Binder, faculty director of the University of North Florida’s Public Opinion Research Laboratory, are skeptical that vulnerable GOP state lawmakers could be in further trouble over their vote on the six-week abortion ban alone.

Binder noted “there is a ballot measure that is out there that expands and enshrines abortion rights into the state constitution, and that is certainly something where you could see some folks maybe voting for a Republican but also voting ‘yes.’”

“It could also maybe motivate a few more people to come out that might otherwise not come out,” he added. “Not a lot, but a few.”

Some Republicans also say they are skeptical, noting factors like candidate quality and other top issues among voters.

“Overall, having the six-week abortion ban, reproductive rights amendment on the ballot is a net plus in terms of Democratic voter turnout,” said Justin Sayfie, a Florida-based Republican strategist. “But the challenge for the Democratic Party in Florida in these state House and state Senate races is putting up viable candidates.”

Florida Democrats say they are up for that challenge, announcing a recruitment effort earlier this month to bring in candidates for every state and federal legislative office.

But Republicans say the issue also stems from the two candidates who will be at the top of the ballot in Florida this cycle: President Biden and former Rep. Debbie Mucarsel-Powell (D-Fla.), a Senate candidate.

“They’ve got two weak candidates [on the statewide ballot]. They need something else to energize their voters,” Sayfie said.

Biden and Mucarsel-Powell have both zeroed in on abortion as a key campaign issue in the state. Earlier this week, the president made a campaign stop in Tampa, taking the opportunity to slam Florida’s six-week abortion ban, which is slated to go into effect next week. Meanwhile, Vice President Harris is slated to deliver remarks in Jacksonville the day the ban takes effect.

“It’s not so much that we have to make it an issue, that people have already made this an issue,” said Florida state House Minority Leader Fentrice Driskell (D). “Voters have shown us that this is the formula to connect with them, to be able to have the credibility to ask for their vote, you have to be able to say that you authentically say that you care about the issues that they care about.”

Polling shows the issue is certainly on voters’ minds.

An Emerson College polling survey released earlier this month found that 42% of Florida voters said they plan to vote in November in favor of the amendment to enshrine abortion rights into the state’s constitution, while 32% said they were not sure. 25% said they would vote against the measure.

A separate USA Today/Ipsos poll from earlier this month found that 57% of voters said they would vote to expand abortion access through the ballot measure.

Still, Republicans say other issues will be at play in November, particularly for swing voters.

“That’s the danger for Democrats, they talk so much about abortion and reproductive rights that voters think, ‘Gosh, they don’t care about these other issues that I care about,’” Sayfie said.

[thebarroomortheboy]

Along with producer Leon Schlesinger, other members of the Warner Bros. animation studio played the live-action roles: writer Michael Maltese was the security guard, animator Gerry Chiniquy was the live-action director, and manager Henry Binder was the stagehand who tosses Porky out of the soundstage. With the exception of Schlesinger, all voices were dubbed over by Mel Blanc.

YOU OUGHT TO BE IN PICTURES (1940) | dir. Fritz Freleng

[redactedcrowart]

mystomach hurts. alt version under the cut thumbsup emoji

[dsm--v]

the riddler 😳🤕 isb transgener 🗣️😣🤯 hes wearing,,, a binder 😨😕

[fromthedust]

bird painted on ostracon - Thebes, Egypt - c.1479–1458 BCE

Paul Manship - Crowned Crane - gilt bronze on lapis lazuli base - 13 5⁄8 x 7 x 2 7⁄8 inches - 1932

bird & snake - illumination - Beatus of Liébana, Commentaria in Apocalypsin (the ‘Beatus of Saint-Sever’) - Saint-Sever - before 1072

Ron Mueck (Australian, b.1958) Still Life - mixed media sculpture - 2009

Horus the Golden - Horus standing on the hieroglyph for gold­ - faience and polychrome inlay - Middle Egypt - Hermopolis - Late Period or Ptolemaic Period - 4th century BCE

Utagawa Hiroshige I (Japanese, 1797- 1858)- Jūmantsubo Plain at Fukagawa Susaki - woodblock print - 1856

Adam Binder (British, b.1970) - Wren II - patinated bronze - 2012

Redmer Hoekstra (Dutch, b.1982) - Pelikaan (Pelican) - pencil - 2015

Bill Mayer (American illustrator, b.1951) - Ibis - painting

Edwin John Alexander (Scottish, 1870-1926) - Griffon (Tawny) vulture (Gyps fulvus) - watercolor & gouache - 26 x 17 cm - Paris - 1891

Eric Fan (born in Hawaii, living & working in Canada) - Kingfisher - painting - 2014

John Boyd (England, b.1957) - Dodo Variations IV - painting

J.K.Brown aka John Kennedy Brown (wooarts) (Welsh, b.1979) - Bird - metal-scrap sculpture

René Magritte (Belgian, 1898-1967)  - The Idol - painting - 1965

Michael Sowa (German, b.1945) - Die Rückkehr der Zugvögel (The Return of the Migratory Birds) - painting

Mullanium (steampunktendencies) - Blue Jay - mixed media assemblage

Pelican - painted wood toy

Vojtěch Preissig (Czech, 1873-1944) - Seven Ravens - etching - 1900

Incense container with plovers - lacquer, gold, sea-shell - Japan - late Muromachi period (1392-1573)

Dilhaar (www.instagram.com/hmdbti/) - flying bird - paintings & gif

“Before I ever started painting and before I even started taking drawing seriously, I was in love with the idea of painted animation. Frame by frame, each painting coordinates with the one before and the one after to create life. I still have a lot to learn and there are a lot of technical things I don’t know and will improve on but I like this start. Forget thoughts, focus on actions. Regarding this specific animation I really love the shapes of the shadow on the ground.” - Dilhaar

[qwertyfingers]

Everything Everything @ The Leadmill, Sheffield, November 2015 📷 Megan Lever for Gig Junkies

[sparkl3mew]

michael afton / thomas jefferson miku binder

[rnbria]

Binder files: 2007

[michaelinaroombitching]

GUESS WHO JUST ORDERED HIS FIRST BINDER 🗣️🗣️

[bylertruther]

mike going from thinking that he lost his best friend for good to realizing that he's still alive and they still have a chance to save him.

[duskkodesh]

So the freaking miracle worker that is my spouse, I swear actual vampire, knows magic, ANYWAYS he found me the 1988 TSR Marvel roleplaying guide volume 3 just for the Morb profile. It’s a very specific timedate which is in that period where he was cured and She-Hulk had represented him so it does things like list his base of op as LA and things like that. Anyways I’m a sharer so have a look! 

[divinedeathbed]

Mm,mmmich,,michael

[soulchronicity]

tumblr changes its desktop layout on my birthday and it looks shit change it back i dont like this gift

[waru-chan8]

Choose your team. MotoGPxWSBK edition

[jojotier]

lin manuel miranda is playing michael jackson in the weird al biopic.

[suzuki-ecstar]

just watched rubinho’s first win 🥹