#Political Stability

[dailyanarchistposts]

Trajectories for the Future

In "Dark tidings: Anarchist Politics in the Age of Collapse," Uri Gordon paints an ominous picture: "industrial civilization is coming down," so "anarchists and their allies are now required to project themselves into a future of growing instability and deterioration."[20] I am not so sure about the imminent downfall of industrial civilization or the collapse of capitalism, but I concur that we need to project ourselves into some image of the future in order to prepare for it.[21] A complication is that the future is partially decided by how we project ourselves into it and how we imagine it. There is not a predetermined future that we merely need to prepare for. It will be shaped by how we prepare for it and by what future we prepare for. To fixate ourselves on a particular vision of the future could affect us by constricting our capacities in the present to those actions that lead to that future, blinding us to other possibilities.

Gordon mentions some possible future scenarios, summed up as "grassroots communism, eco-authoritarianism, or civil war."[22] As the ecological crisis becomes more clear and people demand change, global capitalism might attempt to recuperate by making minor adjustments and putting on a "green face" without any changes in the system that is actually causing the crisis: capitalism itself. This can only buy time, and as the crisis intensifies capitalism will employ more authoritarian and repressive measures to stay in power. It can do this either in an authoritarian, neoliberal form, deploying superficial, liberal "progressive" rhetoric while preserving existing hierarchies; or it could instead turn to "eco-fascism," combining nationalist, racist and misogynist ideas of population control and "belonging" with the need to protect nature by totalitarian means. Both are tendencies that exist in the present.[23] In either case, it can only be a matter of buying time by managing the crisis until the inevitable collapse. In his piece Gordon suggests a number of praxises that are necessary in order to resist the authoritarian tendencies during this period of interregnum as well as to build alternative communities that prefigure a new way of life, independent of global capitalism.

Another, more recent, theory of possible futures is Geoff Mann and Joel Wainwright's (M&W) "Climate Leviathan."[24] They see four different trajectories: Either the capitalist order will continue under an increasingly authoritarian global sovereign - a planetary regulatory regime that decides who gets to pollute and at which cost ("Climate Leviathan") - or it will continue without such a sovereign as reactionary and nationalist movements refuse any serious collective efforts to mitigate climate change ("Climate Behemoth"). The global sovereign might also emerge as a non-capitalist world order: the state-socialist dream of a global centrally planned economy but with an emphasis on reducing carbon emissions ("Climate Mao"), and finally there is the more unknown path which involves a rejection and transcendence of both capitalism and political sovereignty ("Climate X").[25] Although climate denying "anti-globalist" right-wing movements have gained political power in several countries in recent years, the authors doubt this "Behemoth" will be long-lived: at some point the climate crisis will become so apparent it cannot be ignored.[26] They find the capitalist "Climate Leviathan" the most likely scenario as it can be built on global institutions and structures that already exist.[27] Climate X is less certain but is the only scenario the authors see as a viable strategy for the future.[28]

There are several overlaps between Gordon's and M&W's theories. Gordon's vision of eco-authoritarian capitalism is not that far from their Climate Leviathan: an attempt to manage the escalating crisis while preserving the existing structures of inequality. In his updated version, he admits that the prediction that capitalism would adapt by accommodating environmentalist and progressive concerns has not been realized. Instead capital has tended to "opt for full-blown reaction" expressed in climate denial and national chauvinism[29] - a trend that aligns with their vision of Climate Behemoth. The main point of convergence in the two theories is the hope for "Climate X" / "grassroots communism" - a movement of movements struggling for social justice, equality and self-management. My own theory is close to these. I also think we will see an increase in authoritarianism and inequality, but I posit that this is not really a change in the system but merely an intensification of the tendencies already contained within it. But the growing crises do give room for and force into existence other forces with the potential to create something new. I too, place my hope in "Climate X" - not as a utopian unknown but as concrete and existing praxises that can be expanded and amplified.

My aim here is thus not to critique the previous theories but to supplement them with empirical cases of what is already happening as the world responds to climate disaster - how the state and capital tries to consolidate the existing political structures on one side, and, on the other, how communities are responding by changing their social relations. Examining these cases from the present can give us a better idea of what to expect from the future and where to focus our struggles. I also add an element to "Climate X" that is under-emphasized in the aforementioned works, which focus primarily on protest and resistance to the dominating powers with the goal of preventing the destructive course.[30] Given the fact that climate disasters are already happening we also need to take into consideration how we are going to survive in the future. The politics of adaptation must be considered from the grassroots level.

[10bmnews]

Indian Equity Market Nears Lifetime Highs: Fundamentals Or FOMO? Market Expert Bhole Weighs In

Last Updated:June 01, 2025, 15:10 IST Indian equity market nears lifetime highs due to strong macro indicators, foreign inflows, and political stability. Atul Bhole of Kotak Mahindra AMC discusses market fundamentals. Patience, systematic investing, and the ability to exploit fear and greed cycles are essential to achieving long-term investing goals. The Indian equity market has rebounded after…

[goldgro]

Ireland’s Tax Treaty Advantages for Overseas Investors

Many overseas investors seeking opportunities in Ireland will benefit significantly from the strong tax treaty. This treaty aims to prevent double taxation and eliminate tax barriers that could deter cross-border investment. Here are some of the key advantages:

1. Reduced Withholding Tax Rates

One of the most compelling benefits of the tax treaty is the reduced withholding tax rates on dividends, interest, and royalties. For some overseas investors, this means potential savings on tax payments when repatriating income from their investments in Ireland. Under the treaty, the withholding tax on dividends can be as low as 15% or even 5% in certain cases, providing a considerable tax incentive compared to the higher rates that might apply in the absence of the treaty.

2. No Capital Gains Tax for Certain Investments

Another attractive feature of the treaty is that overseas investors typically are not subject to Irish capital gains tax on the sale of shares in Irish companies, provided that these investments do not exceed a specific threshold. This exemption can enhance the return on investment for those looking to enter the Irish market.

3. Tax Credits for Cross-Border Investments

The tax treaty allows for foreign tax credits, which can enable overseas investors to offset taxes paid in Ireland against their home country’s tax obligations. This crediting mechanism can alleviate the impact of double taxation, allowing for a more favorable overall tax position for investors engaging in long-term business ventures or property investments in Ireland.

4. Enhanced Certainty and Stability

In an ever-changing global tax environment, the clarity provided by the tax treaty fosters a sense of stability and predictability for overseas investors. Knowing the specific tax obligations and avoidances in their investment strategy allows for better financial planning and risk assessment.

5. Access to a Favorable Business Environment

While not directly a tax treaty benefit, Ireland’s reputation as a business-friendly environment enhances the attractiveness for overseas investors. With a low corporate tax rate of 12.5%, strong legal frameworks, and a skilled workforce, investors can leverage the tax advantages facilitated by the treaty to maximize growth and profitability.

In summary, the tax treaty serves as a vital tool for many overseas investors, offering a range of benefits that streamline taxation and improve the attractiveness of cross-border investment. By taking advantage of reduced withholding taxes, capital gains exemptions, and enhanced certainty, investors can effectively navigate the Irish market, ensuring their investments yield optimal returns. For high-net-worth individuals considering relocation or investment in Ireland, engaging with expert advisors can further optimize the financial advantages available under the treaty.

Disclaimer:

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or legal advice. Readers should conduct their own research and consult with qualified professionals before making any financial decisions.

[sokolygrandaananeva]

Key Provisions and Legacy of the Treaty of Guadalupe Hidalgo

The Treaty of Guadalupe Hidalgo (El Tratado de Guadalupe Hidalgo): A Critical Analysis The Treaty of Guadalupe Hidalgo, written in Spanish and English, includes Articles that the Senate later reduced or removed. The Treaty of Guadalupe Hidalgo, signed on 2 February 1848, marks a significant juncture in the history of North America. This treaty concluded the Mexican-American War (La Guerra…

[majdnews]

هل الأنظمة الديمقراطية محكوم عليها بالجمود والخلل الوظيفي؟

هل الأنظمة السياسية⁤ مصيرها الفشل؟ دراسة حالة‍ فرنسا، ألمانيا، وبريطانيا لطالما شغلت مسألة استقرار الأنظمة⁢ السياسية بال الباحثين والمحللين. ‌ فالتاريخ حافل بأمثلةٍ لدولٍ عانت من انهيار أنظمتها، مما يطرح تساؤلاً جوهرياً: هل فشل الأنظمة السياسية أمرٌ حتمي؟ سنستعرض في هذه المقالة تجارب ثلاث دول أوروبية – ⁣فرنسا، ألمانيا، وبريطانيا – لنستكشف التحديات التي واجهتها⁤ أنظمتها السياسية، ونحلل أسباب نجاح…

[newspatron]

Devendra Fadnavis: Maharashtra's Political Maestro

Share your thoughts and comments on this article!

Here’s an in-depth analysis of the recent political developments in Maharashtra. The dynamics of power have taken intriguing turns. The political landscape has been nothing short of a rollercoaster, with Devendra Fadnavis, Eknath Shinde, and Ajit Pawar playing pivotal roles. This blog post delves into the strategic manoeuvres, the delays, and the behind-the-scenes actions that have shaped the…

[biblebloodhound]

Pray and Give Thanks (1 Timothy 2:1-7)

We need religious tolerance and political stability, guaranteed by people in leadership positions.

First of all, then, I urge that supplications, prayers, intercessions, and thanksgivings be made for everyone, for kings and all who are in high positions, so that we may lead a quiet and peaceable life in all godliness and dignity. This is right and acceptable before God our Savior, who desires everyone to be saved and to come to the knowledge of the truth. For there is one God;    there is…

[innovativejunction]

The Need for Electoral Reforms: A Comprehensive Examination of the "One Nation, One Election" Principle

The Need for Electoral Reforms: A Comprehensive Examination of the “One Nation, One Election” Principle Electoral reforms are integral to strengthening democracy by ensuring transparency, efficiency, inclusivity, and fairness in electoral processes. In India, one of the most debated reform proposals is the principle of “One Nation, One Election” (ONOE). This idea envisages simultaneous elections…

[futurefatum]

Are We On The Brink Of A Revolution? (Tone: 400)

Eric Weinstein discusses the potential for a political and social revolution driven by misinformation and AI governance. #Politics #AI #Revolution

September 2nd, 2024 by @ChrisWillx Eric Weinstein – Are We On The Brink Of A Revolution? ABOUT THIS VIDEO: In the video “Are We On The Brink Of A Revolution?” by Eric Weinstein, he discusses the current state of political, economic, and scientific systems in the United States and globally. Weinstein explores the concept of a managed reality, where societal narratives are carefully controlled…

[townpostin]

DAV Bistupur: Decennial DBMUN 2024 Kicks Off with 340 Students Debating Global and National Issues

The 10th edition of DBMUN began on August 16, 2024, with 340 students from Jharkhand Zone-E participating in various committees and debating critical issues. The Decennial Negotiation Summit of DAV Public School, Bistupur Model United Nations (DBMUN) commenced on August 16, 2024, with 340 students from different DAV Public Schools in Jharkhand Zone-E participating in the two-day event. JAMSHEDPUR…

[dailyanarchistposts]

Another Present is Possible

These examples of events in the recent past give us a terrifying image if we extrapolate them into the future. Assuming they will only intensify with climate change they in no way show us the collapse of civilization as we know it - i.e. a world order of economic and political inequality (inside and between nations), domination and exclusion. On the contrary, this "realist" model shows us that it is not the collapse of order we need to fear but its continuation. But the picture I have presented of the present is only partial and therefore misleading. In recent years we have seen many other social reactions to disasters which point towards a completely different future.

During Hurricane Katrina thousands of volunteer activists arrived in New Orleans, not to distribute charity but to offer their solidarity. They helped the communities who were already coming together to set up local information centers where people could find their loved ones, offer their skills, leave or take supplies, etc. The same happened during the other disasters mentioned here. This spontaneous "disaster communism" or "disaster anarchism" has a long history: when the imposed order of the state and capital retreats people rarely react the way Leviathan assumes - when people find themselves in shared circumstances they are at least as likely to start helping each other as they are to start fighting.[54] A crucial difference over the recent years is that it is no longer spontaneous: communities are learning from past events are preparing for the next; they are practicing the skills required and building communities and networks that prepare them for the future by changing how they relate to each other in the present.

This is about more than surviving during a disaster. In New Orleans the organizations Common Ground Relief and the Common Ground Health Clinic were established to provide immediate relief and mutual aid, but they continue to this day long after the disaster as community led organizations for social justice and self-management. They are now part of the growing network Mutual Aid Disaster Relief which help communities prepare for disasters before they happen, using principles of mutual aid and self-empowerment instead of dependence-creating, top-down "charity."

During Hurricane Sandy in New York, thousands of volunteers came together to organize the relief effort. Their efforts were helped by existing networks of communication and trust established during the Occupy Wall Street protests. The movement Occupy Sandy organized around 60,000 volunteers in an effective relief effort that outperformed both the Red Cross and the government agency FEMA.[55] A report from the Department of Homeland Security praised the decentralized, horizontal and transparent model: "We can learn lessons from Occupy Sandy's successes to ensure a ready and resilient nation."[56]

When the state's branch of repression has such praise for decentralized structures there is reason to be weary of co-optation. Governments could use the potential for community self-organizing to justify neoliberal austerity policies. But since top-down government "rebuilding" efforts have also been used to implement neoliberal policies this is only a reason to further insist on strengthening and radicalizing the grass roots movement and combining the emergency relief and post-disaster rebuilding with an egalitarian anti-capitalist practice. The activists in Occupy Sandy had seen what happened after New Orleans and were from the beginning focused on preventing and resisting the gentrification that often follows with the recovery process.

Furthermore, these movements are not merely reacting to emergencies, trying to survive in the disaster. They are also engaged in climate mitigation by focusing on the environmental surroundings of their communities. Common Ground in Louisiana runs a program for wetlands restoration which is necessary for mitigating the effects of climate change (the wetlands protect against hurricanes and land-loss) and play a part in reducing climate change (by storing CO2). Most importantly though, these movements are building new praxises and social relations that are necessary parts of a different social order beyond capitalism and the Leviathan.

This is not political idealism as in the opposite of "realism" - I have again merely pointed out things that actually exist in the real world and many more examples could be given from many other parts of the globe. As Martin Buber noted,[57] all societies contain to some degree both the "political principle" (organization characterized by domination) and the "social principle" (association based on common needs) and any realistic analysis would be lacking if it merely focused on one, not merely because it would miss part of reality but because it would affect our actions and thus shape reality. The two narratives give us radically different affective states and have the potential to shape our ideals for the future and our capacities in the present. Both principles will likely be intensified with climate change; which one will be stronger depends on what we do.

The movements described may not today be big enough to replace the system in its entirety and stop climate change but they do provide us with a lived and "concrete utopia"[58] which can give us the hope and trust necessary to break the paralysis caused by an overpowering fear of climate induced societal apocalypse. They show us that it is not the breakdown of the current order we need to fear. If we are to avoid climate catastrophe the social order must be radically changed. Communities and movements like these are part of determining the direction of that change - they allow us to prepare for the future by changing the present, thereby expanding our collective imagination of what is possible. Their most important function might be to dispel the Hobbesian fantasy.

[touchaheartnews]

The High Cost of Violent Protests: An Urgent Warning from the IGP

Violent protests have increasingly become a topic of concern in many societies. The Inspector General of Police (IGP) has raised alarms about the growing trend of violent demonstrations and their far-reaching impacts. While the right to protest is a fundamental aspect of democratic societies, it is crucial to understand why violent protests, in particular, can have detrimental effects on social,…

[goldgro]

North and South: A Tale of Two Economies on One Island

The Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI), in collaboration with the Shared Island Unit of the Department of the Taoiseach, has recently released a comprehensive report comparing the economies of Ireland and Northern Ireland. This research provides a valuable, high-level overview, using a range of economic and social metrics to explore the similarities, differences, and evolving trends between the two jurisdictions.  

It's crucial to remember the distinct contexts: Northern Ireland operates as a regional part of the UK economy, while Ireland is an independent EU Member State. Furthermore, recent years have seen strong growth in Ireland alongside the impacts of Brexit across the UK and periods without a functioning Executive in Northern Ireland. These factors shape the comparisons drawn in the report.  

Demographics and the Labour Market: Diverging Paths?

Population: Ireland's population (5.1 million in 2022) grew significantly faster than Northern Ireland's (1.9 million) between 2010 and 2022, largely fueled by strong net migration into Ireland. Ireland also maintains a younger population structure, resulting in a lower old-age dependency ratio compared to Northern Ireland.  

Participation & Employment: Labour market participation rates (ages 16-64) are higher in Ireland, and the gap has widened over time (4.4 percentage points higher in Ireland by 2022). While Northern Ireland had higher employment rates in 2010 following the financial crisis, Ireland's strong recovery means its employment rate (73.3% for 16-64s in 2022) now surpasses Northern Ireland's (by 3 percentage points).  

Volatility: Ireland's economy shows more pronounced business cycle effects, with indicators like unemployment, migration, and NEET rates exhibiting greater volatility than in Northern Ireland. Recently, unemployment has been lower in NI, while the rate of young people Not in Employment, Education or Training (NEET) has been lower in Ireland.  

Living Standards: A Widening Gap

The report highlights a significant and growing divergence in living standards:

Household Income: Using a reliable measure adjusted for household size and purchasing power, household disposable income was found to be 18.3% higher in Ireland than in Northern Ireland in 2018, with this gap widening over the 2011-2018 period.  

National Income: Comparing modified GNI* per capita (a measure adjusting for globalisation effects in Ireland) with GDP per capita in NI shows a 57% gap in favour of Ireland in 2022. GNI* per capita also grew significantly faster in Ireland between 2015 and 2022, indicating increasing divergence.  

Wages: Hourly earnings (PPP-adjusted) were 36% higher in Ireland than in Northern Ireland in 2022.  

Economic Structures: Tax, Spend, and Trade Shifts

Taxation: Per capita, personal income tax payments in NI are less than half those in Ireland, likely due to higher average incomes and a more progressive tax system in Ireland. Corporation tax receipts per capita are over five times higher in Ireland, forming a much larger share of total tax revenue (21% vs 6% in NI).  

Spending: Government spending priorities differ. Ireland allocates a higher share of its expenditure to health (26.3% vs 17.3% in NI) and capital investment (13.4% vs 8.7% in NI). Northern Ireland allocates a higher share to social protection (30.1% vs 27.9% in Ireland).  

Trade: While Great Britain remains NI's largest trading partner, trade between NI and GB declined between 2015 and 2022, particularly services imports from GB. Conversely, trade between NI and Ireland increased, especially NI's goods exports to Ireland and services imports from Ireland. Brexit is cited as a likely important driver of this shift.  

Sectoral Performance and the Productivity Divide

Employment Structure: Public sector employment remains higher in NI (29.2% vs 25.3% in Ireland in 2019), though the gap has narrowed. Ireland shows higher employment concentration in high-productivity sectors like 'information and communication' and 'financial insurance'.  

Productivity: A significant productivity gap exists, favouring Ireland. Labour productivity in Ireland was higher in 8 out of 10 sectors in 2021. This is particularly stark in manufacturing and ICT, heavily influenced by Ireland's strong foreign direct investment (FDI) sector. Productivity in foreign-owned firms in Ireland was almost four times higher than in NI in 2021, pointing to a sharp divergence. Employment in foreign-owned firms also grew much faster in Ireland between 2015 and 2021.  

Well-being Indicators: Education and Health Concerns

The report flags concerns regarding key well-being indicators, particularly in Northern Ireland:

Education: NI lags significantly in educational enrolment rates compared to Ireland, the UK, and the EU27, especially in early years (3-5) and among 15-19 year olds. Alarmingly, the 15-19 enrolment rate in NI fell between 2018 and 2022, and early school leaving rates increased over the same period, contrasting with falling rates in Ireland.  

Healthcare: While waiting lists for 0-6 months are similar, NI has much higher rates of people waiting longer (over 18 months) for inpatient and outpatient procedures. Infant mortality rates, previously similar, diverged significantly by 2021, falling in Ireland and the UK but rising in NI.  

Life Expectancy: Life expectancy from birth in Ireland (82.4 years in 2021) surpassed NI (80.4 years) and the UK average (80.7 years), having converged around 2006 and diverged since. This divergence likely reflects the widening gaps in living standards, education, and healthcare access.  

The ESRI's report paints a picture of increasing economic divergence on the island of Ireland. While Northern Ireland has recently experienced lower unemployment rates, Ireland shows significantly higher and faster-growing living standards, higher productivity levels (particularly driven by FDI), and concerningly, widening advantages in key education and health outcomes. Factors like Brexit, differing economic structures, investment priorities, and policy choices appear to be contributing to these distinct trajectories. This research provides crucial evidence for policymakers North and South as they address the challenges and opportunities for the shared island.  

Sources

The Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI): Comparative Analysis of Economies of Ireland and Northern Ireland

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or legal advice. Readers should conduct their own research and consult with qualified professionals before making any financial decisions.  

[acpsalewaanewspaper]

أثر إنعكاسات ظاهرة اللجوء البيئى على الاستقرار السياسي - دارفور نموذجاً

أثر إنعكاسات ظاهرة اللجوء البيئى على الاستقرار السياسي – دارفور نموذجاً   أثر إنعكاسات ظاهرة اللجوء البيئى على الاستقرار السياسي – دارفور نموذجاً The impact of the environmental refugee phenomenon on political stability – Darfur: as a model خلاصة: لقد اهتم العلماء والمفكرون بقضية البيئة وعملوا على إيجاد الوسائل اللازمة للمحافظة عليها وحمايتها من التلوث. وقد حظي هذا الموضوع باهتمام الحكومات…

[signode-blog]

The Indian Stock Markets and General Elections: Analyzing the Reactions in 2004, 2009, 2014, and 2019

The Indian stock markets, like their counterparts around the globe, are significantly influenced by political events, with elections being one of the most critical. The general elections in India not only determine the political leadership but also set the tone for economic policies and reforms that can impact investor sentiment and market performance. This article delves into the reactions of…

[rodaportal]

🌐 Unlocking the secrets of global and European corruption! 🕵️‍♂️🔍

Join the conversation on corruption as we navigate the complexities of its influence worldwide, with a keen focus on Europe. 🌍 From the root causes to the far-reaching consequences, and the robust measures taken for reform – this video is an eye-opener! 👁️💡

Discover how corruption impacts economic development, political stability, and social justice. 🌐 Let's build a future that's transparent, accountable, and free from the clutches of corruption! 🤝💼 🎥

🔗 Watch now: https://youtu.be/o_QS9Es-Iqo