#volatility

[cognitivejustice]

How to stop being surprised by unprecedented weather

Abstract

We see unprecedented weather causing widespread impacts across the world. In this perspective, we provide an overview of methods that help anticipate unprecedented weather hazards that can contribute to stop being surprised. We then discuss disaster management and climate adaptation practices, their gaps, and how the methods to anticipate unprecedented weather may help build resilience. We stimulate thinking about transformative adaptation as a foundation for long-term resilience to unprecedented weather, supported by incremental adaptation through upgrading existing infrastructure, and reactive adaptation through short-term early action and disaster response. Because in the end, we should take responsibility to build resilience rather than being surprised by unprecedented weather.

Accessible PDF from Nature Journal

[fuckyeahfluiddynamics]

Skittering Drops

Drip some ethanol on a hot surface, and you'd expect it to spread into a thin layer and evaporate. But that doesn't always happen, and a recent study looks at why. (Image and research credit: P. Kant et al.; via APS Physics) Read the full article

[its-a-date]

Short-term observations of hunter-gatherer societies give the false impression of stability. In reality, the experience of humanity in the Pleistocene was probably already a premonition of our ecologically volatile future.

"Plagues Upon the Earth: Disease and the Course of Human History" - Kyle Harper

[unpluggedfinancial]

The Psychology of HODL: Why Bitcoiners Hold Through Market Cycles

The Ultimate Test of Conviction

In 2011, a single Bitcoin was worth less than a dollar. In 2017, it hit $20,000. By 2022, it had crashed below $16,000—only to roar back past $60,000 in 2024. The world has called Bitcoin dead over 470 times, but the believers? They never wavered. They HODLed. Why? Because Bitcoin isn’t just an asset—it’s a mindset. And understanding that mindset is the key to understanding the future.

The Birth of HODL: More Than Just a Meme

The term "HODL" originated from a legendary 2013 Bitcointalk forum post titled "I AM HODLING." It was a drunken typo that turned into a movement. But HODLing is more than just internet slang—it’s an ethos, a declaration of defiance against the financial system. It represents the philosophy of long-term conviction in a world obsessed with short-term gains.

Traders chase quick profits, institutions time the market, but true Bitcoiners? They accumulate and hold. Why? Because they understand that Bitcoin isn't a get-rich-quick scheme; it's a get-free-slowly revolution.

The Cultural Phenomenon of HODLing

HODLers aren’t just investors—they’re part of a global movement. The Bitcoin community reinforces its ideology through memes, mantras, and unwavering support. Social signaling plays a massive role in the HODL culture. Terms like "diamond hands" vs. "paper hands" define who can endure market downturns and who panics under pressure. The camaraderie strengthens conviction, creating a collective belief that Bitcoin’s future value will overshadow any temporary volatility.

The Economic Logic: Why HODLing Makes Sense

Scarcity & the 21M Cap

Bitcoin’s finite supply of 21 million coins is hardcoded scarcity. Every halving event reduces the rate of new supply entering the market, making Bitcoin inherently deflationary. Unlike fiat currencies, which can be endlessly printed, Bitcoin’s scarcity ensures that long-term holders are rewarded.

Stock-to-Flow & The Digital Gold Thesis

Bitcoin’s scarcity gives it a predictable issuance schedule, much like gold. The stock-to-flow model suggests that as scarcity increases, so does value. Those who HODL through the cycles understand this dynamic and accumulate in anticipation of future scarcity-driven price increases.

Volatility as a Feature, Not a Bug

Newcomers panic when Bitcoin crashes. Veterans see it as an opportunity. The volatility is not a weakness; it’s a mechanism that transfers wealth from the impatient to the patient. Every dip is a stress test—weak hands sell, strong hands accumulate.

The Psychology of HODL: What Keeps People Holding?

Loss Aversion

The fear of losing potential future gains often keeps investors from selling. Many who sold early watched Bitcoin soar and vowed never to make that mistake again.

Sunk Cost Fallacy

The deeper the investment, the harder it is to let go. People who have held Bitcoin for years develop an emotional attachment, reinforcing their commitment.

Confirmation Bias

Bitcoiners surround themselves with reinforcing narratives, filtering out anti-Bitcoin sentiments. This strengthens conviction, even when the market is down.

Delayed Gratification & Low Time Preference

Bitcoiners adopt a low time preference—valuing long-term gains over immediate rewards. This psychological shift allows them to endure short-term losses in pursuit of long-term wealth.

Market Cycles & The Emotional Rollercoaster of HODLing

Bitcoin’s price moves in four-year cycles, driven by the halving events. Each cycle follows a predictable pattern: euphoria, crash, despair, accumulation, and a new all-time high. Understanding these cycles separates HODLers from FOMO-driven speculators.

FOMO & Euphoria: When Bitcoin pumps, the masses rush in, pushing prices higher.

Capitulation: When crashes occur, weak hands sell in panic.

Accumulation: The patient and the wise accumulate cheap Bitcoin while the market loses interest.

Repeat: The cycle starts again, rewarding those who understood the game.

The Future of HODLing: Will It Always Be This Way?

As institutional adoption grows, will HODLing still be necessary? Will Bitcoin’s volatility subside, or will new waves of retail investors continue the cycle? While the future remains uncertain, one truth remains: those who have held through the chaos have reaped the rewards.

💎 Why We HODL

HODLing isn’t just about making money—it’s about rejecting a broken system. It’s about believing in a future where money is sound, where power shifts from central banks to individuals. To HODL is to understand that the road to financial revolution is paved with volatility, but the reward at the end is sovereignty.

The question isn’t whether Bitcoin will survive. The question is: Will you have the conviction to hold through the chaos and come out on the other side?

Tick. Tock. Next Block.

Take Action Towards Financial Independence

If this article has sparked your interest in the transformative potential of Bitcoin, there’s so much more to explore! Dive deeper into the world of financial independence and revolutionize your understanding of money by following my blog and subscribing to my YouTube channel.

🌐 Blog: Unplugged Financial Blog Stay updated with insightful articles, detailed analyses, and practical advice on navigating the evolving financial landscape. Learn about the history of money, the flaws in our current financial systems, and how Bitcoin can offer a path to a more secure and independent financial future.

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👍 Like, subscribe, and hit the notification bell to stay updated with our latest content. Whether you’re a seasoned investor, a curious newcomer, or someone concerned about the future of your financial health, our community is here to support you on your journey to financial independence.

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Support the Cause

If you enjoyed what you read and believe in the mission of spreading awareness about Bitcoin, I would greatly appreciate your support. Every little bit helps keep the content going and allows me to continue educating others about the future of finance.

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[jeffhirsch]

End of Q1 – Prone to Volatility and Weakness since 1990

Over the past 35 years the DJIA has declined 22 times and advanced 13 with an average loss of 0.62% near the end of March. S&P 500 has a similar track record. Excluding advancing years, the average decline is right around 1.5% for DJIA and S&P 500. End-of-quarter portfolio restructuring likely plays a role as managers lock in any gains and look to establish positions for the next quarter. These declines can begin on either the fourth-to-last trading day or the third.

Market weakness dominated the end of March from 1990 through 2009. From 2010 to 2017/2018 DJIA and S&P 500 largely bucked the previous trend and improved the recent 21-year trend in March. More recently late-March selling appears to be staging a comeback.

As of the market’s close yesterday (March 20), DJIA and S&P 500 were down 4.3% and 4.9% respectively this March. Historically end-of-Q1 weakness has occurred regardless of how strong or weak the month had been. In 2009 DJIA was up 12.20% and still declined 3.98% over the last three trading days. DJIA was down 11.24% in 2020 and lost another 2.82% at month’s end.

[tenth-sentence]

Volatility in the mortality rate, attributable to epidemic disease, is a brake on long-term growth in animal populations.

"Plagues Upon the Earth: Disease and the Course of Human History" - Kyle Harper

[lissa-andrew]

"UNDERSTANDING BITCOIN VOLATILITY

Why does Bitcoin's price fluctuate so much?

It wil surprise that Bitcoin's volatility is largely due to:

✅Supply and Demand

✅Market Sentiment

✅Regulatory Environment

✅Security Concerns

Understanding these factors can help you make more informed decisions about investing in Bitcoin.

Stay informed, stay ahead!

[allaboutforexworld]

Cryptocurrency Regulation and Its Impact on Forex Trading

Cryptocurrency regulation has become a hot topic in recent years as governments worldwide grapple with the rapid rise of digital currencies. Understanding how these regulations affect the broader financial markets, including forex trading, is crucial for traders and investors. What is Cryptocurrency Regulation? Cryptocurrency regulation involves the implementation of laws and guidelines that…

[fickle-minded]

I think about having a consistent blog dedicated to one genre... but my mind is too fickle for that, hence the name.

[pileofplushies]

i hate being so volatile 😑

[wanderingmind867]

A lesson in volatile emotions: We were watching the Quantum Leap finale, and I hated the villian so much I began screaming at my tv talking about how I wanted to torture him and how this all makes no sense to me. If everything the writers said is real, the villain wouldn't even have been born if not for our main character. I ruined my own sense of enjoyment and nearly ruined it for my dad. I'm like a ticking time bomb: you n never know he's what'll set me off.

[crudeinourtrading]

Distribution Selling - What It Tells Us About What Big Money Is Doing

With equities set to open slightly lower, how can moving averages and whole numbers create an area of support and resistance? Why the market and the VIX are moving up in tandem. What the put/call ratio can tell us about the sentiment of stock market participants....Watch The Video Here.

[hugourus]

[lwcmanagment]

📊 WallStreet Pulse – Daily Dein tägliches Markt-Update für Nasdaq, S&P 500 und VIX.

🕒 Montag bis Freitag um 14:30 Uhr Präzise. Datenbasiert. Ohne Spekulation.

🎯 Was dich erwartet: – VIX: Wie sicher ist der Markt wirklich? – S&P 500: Trendverhalten & technische Trigger – NASDAQ: Ausbruch oder Korrektur? – Klare Ampellogik statt Bauchgefühl

📈 Keine Meme-Coins. Kein Hype. Nur Struktur.

⚠️ Hinweis: Alle Charts in diesem Format sind illustrativ und dienen der visuellen Erklärung. Keine Plattformdaten, keine fremden Screenshots – nur Beispielgrafiken zur Veranschaulichung.

📆 Sonntags um 20:00 Uhr: Die große Wochenschau mit Makrostruktur & Risikoanalyse.

© ChartWise Insights – durch Vernunft zum Erfolg.

[inesestradavigil]

The Power of Discipline in Overcoming Challenges

Discipline is and has been one of the strongest skills I have developed all through my life. I know it has helped me face through tough times. We know and it is widely accepted that discipline is a learned skill. It requires a process of training the mind to focus on prioritizing. I also believe that the only type of discipline is self-discipline. Discipline is defined as the ability to behave…