#blog statistics

[hislittleraincloud]

I see you.

(And not the way Jairo see each other.)

It's a(n incomplete) map of my visitors since April 25th (a month ago), some who're using VPNs. One of whom has visited me almost every day for a month. 💀 🫴🏽💕✨

[tired-and-triggered]

|222| Alignment | Balance | Harmony |

This is a sign that you're in the right place at the right time. Like to charge, reblog to cast. ✨

222

[prokopetz]

I'm not gonna claim that most Tumblr polls are anything like rigorously structured, but I've seen a lot of folks rather smugly asserting that having a "not applicable" option that ends up dominating all other responses is evidence that the person who created the poll is incompetent, and y'all: under the specific circumstances in which these polls are constructed and distributed, that outcome is evidence of good poll design, not bad poll design. Yes, even when the "not applicable" responses outnumber all other responses ten to one. There are several reasons for that:

At the time of this posting, Tumblr polls have no "see response" button. The only ways to see a poll's distribution of responses are to wait for the poll to conclude, or to respond yourself – and not only are people on social media typically curious and impatient, many of them also know that there's no way they'll remember to check back later once the poll has concluded, so in practice, their opportunity to see the results is now or never. Adding a little note to the poll insisting that people who aren't part of the targeted demographic should refrain from voting isn't necessarily going to restrain that impulse. Indeed, it may end up encouraging folks who otherwise wouldn't have picked a random result-revealing response to do so, because fuck you, don't tell me what to do.

Many respondents genuinely won't realise they're not part of the targeted demographic until after they've voted. It doesn't matter how much text you add to contextualise the poll, because they'll read the poll first, and if they read the accompanying text at all, it's only after they've responded. Heck, a lot of folks don't even bother to read the question before responding to a poll; they just start going down the options and reflexively click the first one that seems like it might apply to them, then go back and read what was actually being asked (and complain in the notes if it turns out that they misunderstood). Even a well-meaning person can only comply with instructions they've actually read; for those folks, clicking the "not applicable" option is what compliance looks like.

Even folks who do fit your poll's targeted demographic can fall prey to the imp of the perverse. Giving the most accurate response rather than the most entertaining one can be a real struggle for a lot of folks; in scientific analysis of polling data, this is known as the "mischievous responder bias". In an informal setting like Tumblr, it's reasonable to suppose that the mischievous responder effect might be exaggerated compared to polls conducted in more formal contexts, and a well-designed poll is going to take that into account. A humorous "not applicable" option provides an escape by affording folks the freedom to screw around with the knowledge that they're not polluting useful data by doing so; in practice, the "I am a toaster" option is a mischievous response filter.

What this adds up to is that a poll where 90% of the responses hit the "not applicable" button is more likely to have yielded useful data than a poll with a narrow target audience where some unknown percentage of the responses represent folks not reading the instructions, clicking random options to see the results, and/or taking the piss.

[chickenchirps27]

hello denizens of tumblr i come with humble offerings

they wish to romance you

[gimmick-blog-bracket]

Round 2: The Lost Levels

(because I made a mistake the first time)

@statistical-distr-of-polls

(no propaganda submitted)

@dailypokemoncrochet

“theyre actually a wizard how do they make them so good”

[poorly-drawn-mdzs]

At the start of this project all I wanted was to 'learn how to draw' using comics as a medium and the MDZS audio drama as inspiration.

I've come *very* far from making simple, 3 panel black and white comics, and I truly do intend to go even further. Thank you to everyone who cheered me on throughout 2023, it has been an incredible year in so many ways I never could have imagined. I look forwards to drawing throughout 2024 B*)

(2024 summary here)

[poorlydrawntorbek]

I SWEAR I recognize this style. 🤔 Do you have another tumblr you post to?

Day 8 (Bonus) - Come Back With a Warrant!!

[secondwheel]

Rounding up and down

[naughtybg3confessions]

For those curious, as of today...

The top most popular confession on our blog:

And out of our top 12 most popular confessions, Gale is the subject of 9 of them. The remaining 3 are about Astarion.

Unsurprisingly, this trend is also reflected in our top 10 most confessed about characters:

Gale (89)

Astarion (83)

Zevlor (79)

Halsin (61)

Gortash (37)

Wyll (34)

Rugan (29)

Karlach (28)

Shadowheart (26)

Rolan (25)

Is it that Gale fans are the most numerous, or just the most shameless? Either way, Galefuckers are engaging with this blog the most by far, submitting the most confessions and making the most reblogs and comments. As a Galefucker myself, I hope my bias isn't influencing the blog too much! I do submit my own confessions about characters other than Gale sometimes, I swear!!

The rizzard might be the most popular for now, but who knows where we'll end up? There is still time to pump up numbers for your other faves. Eventually, we will do an in-depth statistical analysis of the entire blog, once we've compiled enough data. Perhaps as a New Years celebration!

[kitkatstu-dies]

5/30/2025

Rainy, cold day for being almost June. Last night was kind of rough mentally (I wasn't expecting to feel so lonely right after moving), but I'm feeling a lot better now. I got breakfast, put on eyeliner, and now I'm cleaning up my dorm. I'm in a weird place in my life, but that's alright.

[lizhi-studiies]

this one goes out to everyone who would love to have cute aesthetic notes and try their hardest, but have ugly illegible handwriting....

[prokopetz]

Let's consider the sampling bias of a classic polling method: the telephone survey.

In many jurisdictions, robo-calling cell phone numbers is illegal, so right off the jump, our sample is limited to people with landlines.

Second, our survey's calling centre probably doesn't operate 24/7, and you can only answer a home landline when you're at home, so we're also selecting for people who tend to be at home during our calling centre's office hours.

Third, most people who have landlines probably also have answering services and caller ID, so we're additionally selecting for people who answer unknown numbers rather than letting them go to the machine.

Fourth, our recipient needs to be able to participate in the survey, so we're also selecting for people who speak the language(s) in which the survey is being administered.

Finally, after all this, most people will just hang up once they figure out they're being polled, so in sum, we're selecting for people who:

have landlines;

are usually at home during our calling centre's office hours;

customarily answer unknown numbers;

speak the language(s) in which the survey is administered; and

are actually interested in responding to surveys.

Any one of these factors is likely to introduce very serious bias into our results; all of them taken together are going to render our data practically meaningless for most purposes.

Now, understand that this still represents less selection bias than trying to do demographic surveys by reblogging Tumblr polls.

[dreamystarsagedre]

Whats in my agere bag?

[calciumcarbo-bot]

Ah! Mecha! Just the individual I needed to see! Stan and I need to dash out for a few hours, and I need someone to look after Missy (our kitten). I can’t find Suika or Mirai, so I figured I could leave her with you. You’re intelligent and logical, so I’m sure you won’t kill her.

*hands over Missy* it’ll only be for a few hours- I’ll pay you back I promise!

Okthanksbye *runs out the door*

@ask-dr-xeno @missy-the-cat

[POST – Mecha Senku]

[Image: A very confused robot sitting cross-legged with a cat loafed on his lap. The cat is staring at his hand like it's about to attack it.]

STATUS REPORT: Dr. Xeno has abandoned a juvenile feline unit in my care. SPECIES: Felis catus NAME: "Missy" SIZE: Inconsequential THREAT LEVEL: Medium MORAL IMPLICATIONS OF FAILURE: Catastrophic Dr. Xeno stated, "I'm sure you won’t kill her." ...That implies the possibility exists. She has attempted to bite my index actuator six times. I am unsure if this is affection or preemptive warfare. Currently awaiting further instruction. Or a snack. For her. Not me. I do not consume. I only fear. @ask-dr-xeno retrieval requested. @missy-the-cat: cease emitting threats via eye contact. I am immune to emotional manipulation. Probably.

[gimmick-blog-bracket]

Round 0

@statistical-distr-of-polls

(no propaganda submitted)

@incorrect-guilty-gear

(no propaganda submitted)