#let’s make a deal

[siriuslyman]

I was possessed to make this

[thelankypineapple]

posting a lot on my OF💤 today! check it out ;)

[middlechildkin]

Peepaw Week

Day 2

TFLB: The Future Left Behind by Styx13 on AO3 aka @shittygaypornmagazine

FL: Full Lair by ^

LMAD: Let’s Make A Deal by beeceit on AO3 aka @beeceit

ITBOTB: In The Bottom of the Bottle by ^

DMD: Dead Man’s Deal by loneAnonon on AO3 aka @nani-nonny

LCD: Leonardo Come Down by ^

LH: Last Grain Of Sand In The Hourglass by TjLockticon aka @last-hourglass

JTOEL: Just This Once, Everybody Lives by TheDragonTribes aka @theweirdhybrid

[talefoundryshow]

“Let’s make a deal…”

[jencsi]

Finlay Friday

[seanastinhopeunquenchable]

Sean Astin starred with Sarah Drew three years ago in this delightful Twilight Zone-esque short film that showed you COULD make movies while on lockdown!

[jenny-dreadful]

my explanation of the Monty Hall Problem

(“Let’s Make a Deal” was a game show hosted by Monty Hall, which featured a sort of prize puzzle where a contestant was allowed to choose between 3 closed doors, one of which hid a new car and two of which hid goats. After the contestant made their choice, Monty would dramatically open the first wrong door, revealing a goat, and give the contestant One Last Chance to change their mind before revealing whether they’d picked right. Despite all doors being equally likely at game setup, statisticians LOVE to say that you should always switch your pick, that your chances are somehow better than 33% if you do—and as arbitrary and superstitious as that seems, it’s actually completely true and mathematically-sound. Famously, it’s really, REALLY unintuitive and difficult to understand why, even when it’s explained. Let’s see if this helps.)

each has a 1 out of 3 chance of being the “RIGHT” door:

you make your initial pick. “door you chose” has a 1 in 3 chance of being “RIGHT,” and there’s a 2 in 3 chance that “doors you didn’t choose” has the “RIGHT” door:

now, a door from “doors you didn’t choose” is revealed to be a “WRONG” door. that door now has a 0 in 3 chance of being the “RIGHT” door, but overall, “doors you didn’t choose” holds steady with its 2 in 3 chance of rightness:

at this point, only a single door remains in “doors you didn’t choose,”meaning the entire ‘2 in 3 chance’ previously shared by two doors now belongs only to: the remaining mystery door in “doors you didn’t choose”!:

At this point, you choose whether to switch. But YOUR DOOR has the same 1/3 chance of being right that all doors had when we started, while THE OTHER DOOR now carries a 2/3 chance.

it’s still possible to lose, but that’s why you should always SWITCH your choice—chance is skewed away from the door you picked first, no matter what you picked

[kimberlyscout]

Jade Leech is such a dubious little gremlin and I love him so much 🍄

[booloocrew-blog]

On let’s make a deal today one of the contestants admitted to buying old games and the instruction manuals and up selling them for a more expensive price as his job but enough of that here is my dog Chico on vacation w us

[jelly-drop-buttons]

Welp, here it is. I went ahead and filled out @candyheartedchy’s template. Hopefully I did okay, I know nothing about ship dynamics.

(click for better quality)

[seawitchtales]

Sometimes things had to be done to maintain a certain order. While the aimlessly wasteful trip to Snow Mystic had brought new life to Wexford, Carolina was not unaware of the hidden dangers that they faced beyond. In the setting Sun, after cooking for the children and caretakers at the Orphanage, she moved along the stone streets of town to admire how far they had come since the other Jarls had attacked them. She knew for a fact that Leviticus had been working like a mad scientist, supplying the town and their small group of allies new defenses. Carolina had to remember that she needed to speak with Jacob about fortifications to the wall around the City, and growing their Fleet. The water would be a strong ally to gain.

As the crickets chirped, bare footfalls carried her deep within the forests to the West of the City. In a small clearing there lie an alter right in the middle of a small flowing river. A steady stream cascaded from seemingly out of no where, collecting itself in a water-carved basin, only to spill into the currents of the river. Fingertips traced around the rim before a blade was retrieved from off her upper thigh, and in the same motion she sliced the palm of her hand wide open. As Carolina’s blood spilled over the alter, it met with the magical waters that flowed from the fountain, and mixed into the river. Deep within the forest a bright blue light would swirl through the river, shooting like a star until it hit the open waters of the ocean, and was sent out across the Sea.

She wanted to make a deal.

@my-sensorium

[bonerey]

characters have to be a little bit awful in ways that you cant defend. its good for the ecosystem. your honor he did do that. He did in fact do that

[middlechildkin]

Peepaw Week

Day 1

JTOEL: just this once, everybody lives by TheDragonTribes aka @theweirdhybrid

LH: The Last Grain Of Sand In The Hourglass by TjLockticon aka @last-hourglass

ITBOTB: In the Bottom of the Bottle by @beeceit

LMAD: Let’s Make A Deal by ^

FL: Full Lair (It Takes Five) by Styx13 aka @shittygaypornmagazine

TFLB: The Future Left Behind by ^

LCD: Leonardo Come Down by loneAnonon aka @nani-nonny

DMD: Dead Man’s Deal by ^

[talefoundryshow]

We’ve talked about why villains love contracts, but how do magical contracts actually work? We’ll be talking about that soon!

[akeemmair]

Akeem Mair’s “Let’s Make A Deal” Superhero Zonk Editorial Shoot!

Akeem Mair “Let’s Make A Deal” as Superhero Zonk Editorial Shoot! Akeem appeared on the gameshow “Let’s Make A Deal” where he wins $500 on the quickie deals for having a mustard packet.

[bluegiragi]

in action (part 3)

early access + nsfw on patreon